February 27, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Bar Tap | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Little Red Frog | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 7 | Evil Lyn | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
2 | 1 | Sentimentaljourney | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
5 | 6 | Summer Express | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
1A | 5 | Bluebird Sing | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Tiz Susan Ann | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Heather Divine | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | G’s Deadline | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Alliaceous | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Foreign Connection | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Overly Sweet | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | I Am the Fire | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | The Last Gig | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Little Girls Rule | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Embarrassing | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Trivial | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Strollin the Bayou | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Havinfunyet | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | North of Eden | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Little Snip | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Gabby’s Half | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Bold Rey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | N. D. Free | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Say Yes Again | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Snowball | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Sebs Princess | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | This Is My Prayer | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Bella Cajun | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Onetwomanyrockets | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Xairo | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1A | 4 | Hero of the Future | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
2 | 1 | Silver Galaxy | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Silver Seabee | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Homebred | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Sigesmund | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Citrus Burst | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Soar Like an Eagle | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Thenextbestthing | 1.80 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Lady Be Gone | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Joe G’s Payback | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Lucky Artie | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Lebkuchen | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Oh Toodles | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Tensas Weezy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
8 | 7 | Sienna Breeze | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sing the Song | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Copper Fiddle | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 6 | Vacation Lover | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Afleet Roger | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Morethanfishin | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 5 | Maspero | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
6 | 4 | Bayou Jam | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | River Finn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Vincitore | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Avie’s Mineshaft | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Miss Bigly | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Brunette Princess | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Tiz Ella | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Diamondcoat | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Midnight Sway | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Court Surprise | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1A | 7 | Southern Swagg | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Brother Richie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Bet Again | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Bibleman | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Rose’s Galaxy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Two Steppin’ Star | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | Alma Derby | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Fast Verdict | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
3 | 2 | The Minit I See U | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 3 | Jax Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.