February 27, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Aamaal | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Mama Kin | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Free | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Lookbackandlaugh | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Musical Thunder | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Tourbillon Rose | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Dazzling Speed | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Teletype | 0.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Bourbon High | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Moon Over Victoria | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Barbara P | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Sister Alexa | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Floss Dancer | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Chillinwithfriends | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Tequila Sunday | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Party in the Sand | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Movie Score | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3A | 3 | Cobra Sophie | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | World Riot | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
1A | 1 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Nowitna River | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Princess Mikayah | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Mazmania | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Stars Wilburn | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Bears Mafia | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Later Cat | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Vintage Hollywood | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Hizaam | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Walkoff | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Latin Love Bug | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Beautiful Karen | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Mystic Moves | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Makingcents | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Take Charge Donna | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Rosey’s Invasion | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Bella Domenica | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Kilkea | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Musical America | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Wicked Trick | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Han Sense | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Payne | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Small Bear | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Seethisquick | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7A | 7 | Supreme Aura | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2A | 2 | No Distortion | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Won and Done | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
9 | 9 | Hoffenheim | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Coltandmississippi | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Its All Relevant | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Piven | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | The Sicarii | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.