Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 27, 2020

February 27, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aamaal 1.60 1.1 2-1
6 6 Mama Kin 0.80 1.3 2-1
3 3 Free 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lookbackandlaugh 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Musical Thunder 50.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Tourbillon Rose 50.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dazzling Speed 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Teletype 0.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bourbon High 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Minit Maus 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Moon Over Victoria 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Barbara P 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sister Alexa 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Floss Dancer 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Chillinwithfriends 0.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Tequila Sunday 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Party in the Sand 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Movie Score 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 Cobra Sophie 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 World Riot 1.60 1.8 3-1
1A 1 Cotton Candy Cutie 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Nowitna River 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Princess Mikayah 8.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Mazmania 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Stars Wilburn 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bears Mafia 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Later Cat 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Vintage Hollywood 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Hizaam 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Walkoff 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Latin Love Bug 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beautiful Karen 1.60 1.2 2-1
6 6 Mystic Moves 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Makingcents 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Take Charge Donna 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Rosey’s Invasion 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Bella Domenica 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Kilkea 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Musical America 2.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Wicked Trick 1.20 2 4-1
5 5 Han Sense 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Payne 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Small Bear 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Seethisquick 30.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7A 7 Supreme Aura 3.00 1.4 3-1
2A 2 No Distortion 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Won and Done 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Hoffenheim 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Coltandmississippi 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Its All Relevant 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Wegotoldyougotsold 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Piven 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 The Sicarii 20.00 5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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