Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 23, 2020

February 23, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Merneith 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Regal Beauty 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Classy Ruler 1.60 2.3 4-1
8 8 My Happy Girl 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Nora’s Joy 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Tower Smash 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Princess Mo 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Don’t Unzip Me 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Lofty 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 3 Secret Square 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Rstars and Stripes 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Mosienko 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 5 Vegan 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Biddy Duke 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Violent Speed 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zorich 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Unbroken Star 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Challah 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Abusive Gary 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Baby Gronk 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bird 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Murad Khan (FR) 1.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 Brandothebartender 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 What’sontheagenda 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Kiwi’s Dream (AUS) 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Yes I Am Free 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Secret Courier 10.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Traffic Stopper 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Sara Crewe 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Dabzilla 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Lucky Long Legs 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Rickie Nine Toe’s 2.50 3.4 6-1
10 8 Smart Girl 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Stateforest 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Polar Route 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Reds Tribal Heart 50.00 SCRATCH
9 9 On the Verge 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rainwineandhereiam 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bella Chica 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Civil Suit 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Va Va Voom 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Spreckels 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Elemental 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Secret of War 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 The Last Ruler 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Cassie Belle 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 California Street 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Bold Endeavor 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Kershaw 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Acker 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Pepe Tono 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Platinum Equity 6.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Southern King 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Proud Pedro (FR) 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Red King 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Farquhar 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Crystal Tribe (IRE) 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Go Daddy Go 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 M Town Gem 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Mountain Spirit 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Storm the Bastille (FR) 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Turn the Switch 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Desmond Doss 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kazan (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Original Intent 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Potantico 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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