Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 23, 2020

February 23, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Took Charge 1.20 1.2 2-1
4 4 Hopeful Treasure 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 5 Get Set 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Money Ride 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Polar Bear Pete 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Super Silver 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Traveling 2.50 2 4-1
3 2 Danny California 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hardcore Folklore 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Kumar 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 4 Shock Therapy 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Puffery 1.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Sadie Lady 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Awillaway 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Prairie Fire 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Sunshine Gal 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Ok Honey 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Orpheus (ARG) 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 1 Armament 1.60 2.1 4-1
6 4 Too Fast to Pass 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Three to Thirteen 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Eden Ridge 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 3 Bitumen 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 I Saw It All 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Five Eighteen 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Now and Again 1.40 2.5 5-1
6 6 Galway Empire 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Honorable Avenue 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Carnegie Song 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 False Alarm 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Oliver Witha Twist 30.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Our Papa G 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Val’s My Gal 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Drew 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Ryan’s Cat 1.60 2.4 4-1
4 2 Victory Boulevard 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Rejected Again 8.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Skipin On Orchard 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Dan the Man Can 3.50 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maddie May S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ice Princess 0.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Nicky Scissors 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Myawaya 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Holmdel Park 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Courageous Girl 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Tapizearance 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Lake Rudolph 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Catzalionbythetale 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Fridaybeers 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Danegeld 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Daithi 12.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Invasion Bound 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 Mariner Qui 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 6 Brunate 12.00 6.3 12-1
11A 8 Beta 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 True Palace 30.00 8.6 16-1
10A 10 Shadow Caster 15.00 SCRATCH
13 10 Von Aldenbruck 30.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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