February 23, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Took Charge | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hopeful Treasure | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get Set | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Money Ride | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Polar Bear Pete | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Super Silver | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Traveling | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Danny California | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardcore Folklore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Kumar | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shock Therapy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Puffery | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sadie Lady | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awillaway | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Fire | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunshine Gal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ok Honey | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Orpheus (ARG) | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Armament | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three to Thirteen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Eden Ridge | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bitumen | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Saw It All | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Five Eighteen | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now and Again | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galway Empire | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honorable Avenue | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carnegie Song | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | False Alarm | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oliver Witha Twist | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Papa G | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Val’s My Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Drew | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Ryan’s Cat | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Victory Boulevard | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rejected Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Skipin On Orchard | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dan the Man Can | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maddie May S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ice Princess | 0.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nicky Scissors | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myawaya | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holmdel Park | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Girl | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Tapizearance | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Rudolph | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Catzalionbythetale | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fridaybeers | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Danegeld | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daithi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Invasion Bound | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mariner Qui | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Brunate | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11A | 8 | Beta | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | True Palace | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Shadow Caster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Von Aldenbruck | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.