Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 22, 2020

February 22, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cecil the Lion 30.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Unconquered Spirit 20.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Power Back 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Dyna’s Knight 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Burn and Turn 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Start With Yes 1.40 1.9 4-1
2 2 Luv the Painter 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wild Wood North 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Gone Home 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Save Me Paula 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Confusion Baby Boy 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Little Harbour 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mucho Macho Danny 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Awesome At Riedes 4.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chargin Storm 12.00 0.4 1-1
4 4 Toughest ‘Ombre 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Jefazo 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Smooth B 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 John Jones 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Harpers First Ride 2.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bob’s My Uncle 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Final Prospect 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Relentless Lion 20.00 2 4-1
2 2 Lucid Dream 12.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Cause He’s Western 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ain’t Misbehavin 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Federal Walk 3.50 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Outside the Box 15.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Garrison’s Charge 12.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Cash Again 15.00 2 4-1
7 7 Goodluckjohnathan 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Toe Curlin’ Kiss 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Danz a Rebel 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Going to the Lead 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Great Go Go 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Bullets Child 6.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Destruction 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moti 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Up Against It 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 Rising Perry 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Mystic Times 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Beyond the Victory 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 The Magical One 3.50 7 13-1
5 5 Wild River 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Galatians 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baby Karats 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 One Last Trial 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Wonder City 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Steady Love 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dancer’s Melody 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Lookin Dynamic 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Omni Diva 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Miss Tap Dance 3.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grosco (MEX) 15.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Quit Your Moanin 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Elusive Hero 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Liquid Hero 3.50 4.5 8-1
8 8 High Roller 2.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Hot Mic 5.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 Unnamed Soldier 3.00 SCRATCH
6A 6 Bucked Tooth 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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