Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 21, 2020

February 21, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Queen Arya 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 5 First Empress 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Vannavanna Bo Bana 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Turkish Angel 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Subtle Ride 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Circleofcolor 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Excess Coil 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Querelle 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Roses and Candy 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Smiling Annie 1.40 2.3 4-1
5 5 Hot On the Trail 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Remember to Smile 8.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Purdue 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Daddy’s Melody 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Jabber Now 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Queen Carmelita 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Promnesia 3.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 At the Margin 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Laker Jet 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Encountress 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Emmy and I 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Tiz Toffee 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Love a Honeybadger 1.80 2.4 4-1
6 5 Christy Jackson 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Naughty Sophie 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Winsinfashion 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Rattle 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Paint Me Lucky 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Muralist 1.80 2.3 4-1
7 6 Mongolian Legend 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Hudson River Park 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Strugar 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Striking a Pose 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cardiff Cay 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Takeo 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Order and Law 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sea of Liberty 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Good Bye Putin 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Silken Prince 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 East Rand 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mucho Macho Woman 0.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 Jaccat 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tinsel Town Queen 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tamaraandtheboys 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Samandah 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Best Chance 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Railsplitter 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Master Recovery 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Brother Reid 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Champers 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Palace Prince 5.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Canadian Pride 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Dude’s Dream 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Negotiator 20.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Dr. Hoffman 20.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Golden Sparkle 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Keno’d 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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