Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 21, 2020

February 21, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tentwelvefourteen 10.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Mahalo John 12.00 2 4-1
6 6 Firehorn 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Collection 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Virga 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Unstabled 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Academy Bay 6.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Big Sport 3.50 7.5 14-1
1 1 D’urban Park 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kurilov (CHI) 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Croatian 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Lookin for Eight 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Malibu Pro 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Candy Carlos 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Mineyerownmalone 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Hardly a Secret 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ettalusive 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 6 Despina 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Franki D Oro 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Baudette 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Miss Ximena 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Adheretome 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Isabelle’s Joy 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Love My Honey 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Niall 20.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Gaspergou 20.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Pewter 10.00 1.2 2-1
9 7 Grassetto 20.00 1.2 2-1
10 8 Superado 15.00 1.3 2-1
11 9 Parolee 12.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 Seek N Justice 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Delta Surprise 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Chitto 3.50 2.5 5-1
12 10 World 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Freightrainfreeman 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mr. Unusual 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Riker 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 You Split Tens 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Iowa Native 30.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Got Mojo 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Millwood 4.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 Kentucky Allstar 8.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Devils Halo 15.00 8.4 16-1
12 10 Italian Charm 3.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Rocko’s Wheel 6.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Tashkent 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ault 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Baratti 4.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Wyoming Conquest 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Beaver Hat 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 My Name Is Phred 12.00 1 2-1
8 7 Mr. Shapoor 15.00 2 4-1
2A 1 Ace Gilford 8.00 10 19-1
4B 3 Astrologer 4.00 10 19-1
5A 4 Sailor Chow 8.00 10 19-1
7B 6 Gambler 4.00 10 19-1
9 9 Cold Smoke 2.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Vaya Con Dios 2.50 10 19-1
11 9 Adhhar 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Foolish Princess 30.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Her Gold Mine 30.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Emily Bug 30.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Lil H 20.00 1.3 3-1
11 11 Unlawful Assembly 15.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Congrats Girl 15.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Prairie Dress 3.50 1.4 3-1
12 12 Southern Cents 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Whoville 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Tapalong 4.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Viva La Secreta 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Laurieann 4.00 4 8-1
13 13 Wheres Mom 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lilfeatheredindian 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Changi 12.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Thetrashmanscoming 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Hawaakom 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Remembering Rita 1.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 M G Warrior 2.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Shotgun Kowboy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Best of Greeley 20.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Grit and Curiosity 5.00 3.2 6-1
11 10 Principe Guilherme 12.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 Pete’s Play Call 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Seven Nation Army 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Jersey Agenda 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 K Choice 3.50 7.4 14-1
1 1 Fast Breakin Cash 12.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Ruler of the Nile 6.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Oncewewerebrothers 30.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 King of the Court 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Absolutely Aiden 15.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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