Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 21, 2020

February 21, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Palace Kitten 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Red Sorrell 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Causforcelebration 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sir Chubby 12.00 3 6-1
10 7 Lucky Kiss 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Ingreido 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Bebeau 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Royal Family 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lion Charmer 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Septemberten 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Isle of Man 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Frank First 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Blip 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 W W Archie 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 King Shawn 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Captain Yenner 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Handsome Prince 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Days of Spring 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 R Sea Smoke 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lady Noguez 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Beasaichi 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Kerry It 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Blossom Bow 8.00 5.4 10-1
11 9 Donder ‘n Blitzen 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Onezy’s Dream 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Angelic Knugget 30.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Midnight Gem 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 La Rusia 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Not Now Rand 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 2 Three Deep 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Four of Swords 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 3 Poseiden 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Rise n’ Shine 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Drill Cat 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sabina Park 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Miss Loretta 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Cultivation 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Bella Gianna 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Cookie Cove 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Nerissa 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Capeline 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Dancingwithjimmieb 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Wher’d Da Love Go 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Holly Hill 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shanghai Mistress 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Stormy Boss 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tong Shu 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Paynter Fest 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Blue Blue Ice 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Papa’s Little Girl 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Queen Kantharos 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Here Comes Jackie 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Trilby 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Ghostly Beauty 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lookinlikeaqueen 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Gioielli 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Lovely Luvy 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Charlotte the Brit 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Dance Till Dawn 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Valley Date 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 10 Biondetti’s Choice 12.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Tiz Possible Dear 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Nothins Free 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mintz 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Atthepearlygates 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Wonder In 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Road to Peace 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Island Tap 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Moon Pistol 4.50 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Bells Irish Fancy 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 4 Heir Ball 2.50 4.7 9-1
10 7 Catharsis 3.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Over Gators 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 2 Vilaro 4.50 6.1 12-1
6 3 War Star 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 6 Sweetsweetsweet 10.00 7 13-1
11 8 Prospective Diva 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Flora Fantasy 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Arcelor 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Distinctive Lady 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Queen Letizia 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Polished Copper 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Gea 4.00 4.2 8-1
13 12 Lookn Fine as Wine 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Kayseri 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 5 Quiet Drama 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 A Beautiful Day 6.00 6 11-1
12 11 Free Falling 20.00 8 15-1
10 9 Captured Light 15.00 9.3 18-1
11 10 Josefa 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Bettin Onna Kitten 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tenerife Moon 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Liza 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Marialuisa 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Terrible Tara 20.00 10.2 19-1
7 6 Snow and Lillylynn 12.00 11.2 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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