February 21, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Em C | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lunar Light | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Allthewaywithtaye | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Sonoma Crush | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Wise Cat | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Insubordination | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sparky Sparkles | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beto | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dial Em In | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Siren | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Linda’s Legacy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olivia’s Duchess | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missholysensation | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Invader | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salesgirl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hostile Afleet | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Revenge | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alterana | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saturday’s Gold | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Firemaker | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Bro | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saber Run | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Carlos | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shack Partout | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real Brave | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lions Hot Mess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 11 | She’s So Bossy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 6 | Vagary | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katiebmeister | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Boss Lady Melissa | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lonely Petunia | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | R Marie | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Charlotte’s Wish | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wise Woman | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Salute Elle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Tedders Angel | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Rosecoloredglasses | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cougar Country | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pierpont | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Kissing Buck | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noshackleshere | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beaubouef | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B B Special | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elite Runner | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hitter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Magic Command | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Rate First | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queen Gigi | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sundial Star | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clever Arch | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twilight Glow | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Dolly | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fresh Snuff | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Little Diva | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charzee Baby | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Memory Magic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ta Kela Warning | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Friendly and Kind | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cuckoo Kenia | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | See What’s What | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peace Treaty Pat | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyzgalaxy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Gaze | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Promise Tender | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Smooth Current | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Ruler | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nine Is Mine | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reach the Circle | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last Nite Out | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speaktomeoflove | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinlee’s Song | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Cool | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Gulch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Memory of Swim | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Tribute | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hezanothercorredor | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Robber | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grip Tight | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Dansant | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | River King | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Memories | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.