Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 21, 2020

February 21, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Em C 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Lunar Light 3.50 3.3 6-1
1A 8 Allthewaywithtaye 1.40 3.5 7-1
8 9 Sonoma Crush 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Whatelse Igot Todo 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 My Wise Cat 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Insubordination 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sparky Sparkles 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Beto 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dial Em In 1.40 2.9 6-1
2 2 Silver Siren 1.80 3.4 6-1
1 1 Linda’s Legacy 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Olivia’s Duchess 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Missholysensation 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Miss Invader 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Salesgirl 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hostile Afleet 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Bourbon Revenge 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Alterana 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Saturday’s Gold 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Wild Firemaker 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Papa Bro 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Saber Run 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Prince Carlos 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Shack Partout 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Real Brave 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Lions Hot Mess 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2B 11 She’s So Bossy 1.80 SCRATCH
2 6 Vagary 1.80 4.6 9-1
7 7 Katiebmeister 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 10 Boss Lady Melissa 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Lonely Petunia 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 2 R Marie 3.50 5.9 11-1
1 4 Charlotte’s Wish 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 3 Wise Woman 20.00 6.8 13-1
1A 8 Salute Elle 15.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Tedders Angel 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 9 Rosecoloredglasses 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cougar Country 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Pierpont 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Just Kissing Buck 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Noshackleshere 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Beaubouef 3.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 B B Special 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Elite Runner 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Hitter 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Magic Command 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 I Rate First 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Queen Gigi 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Sundial Star 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Clever Arch 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Twilight Glow 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Oh Dolly 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fresh Snuff 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Vita 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 My Little Diva 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Charzee Baby 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Memory Magic 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Ta Kela Warning 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Friendly and Kind 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Cuckoo Kenia 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 See What’s What 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Peace Treaty Pat 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Theboyzgalaxy 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Star Gaze 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Promise Tender 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Smooth Current 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Atlantic Ruler 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Nine Is Mine 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Reach the Circle 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Last Nite Out 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Speaktomeoflove 3.50 4 7-1
7 7 Kinlee’s Song 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Double Cool 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Charlie Gulch 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Memory of Swim 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Grand Tribute 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hezanothercorredor 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Robber 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Grip Tight 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Saint Dansant 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 River King 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Sharp Memories 20.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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