February 21, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Da Berg | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | The Joke’s On You | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Da Alpha | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Go With Honor | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plebe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wisecrack | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Radiantrithym | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Zecha | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Linda’s Ballet | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cover Photo | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Your Distance | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nowitna River | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mazmania | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | First Forever | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soul Fight | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legion Storm | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Guy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mine the Coin | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bridgetothefuture | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ridolfo | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quasar | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gottahaveaholiday | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jasminesque | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Lucky | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empirita | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hickory Made | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capraia’s Destiny | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Somethingtotellyou | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Pharoahs | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Shoes | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Banker | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Titan’s Will | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Wicked | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellarmine Hall | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Business Cycle | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monteleone | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Lane | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mills | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy D T | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Poshsky | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Affair | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fun Prospect | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Love of My Heart | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Autonomous | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ilchester Cheetah | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kansas Kis | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leaveuwithasmile | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fierce Lady | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Amber | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Central Perk | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Tiny Magoo | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hayezhee | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | For Home | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Left Leaning Lucy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Central Exit | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Funny Pursuit | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamy Bigs | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.