Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 20, 2020

February 20, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lethal Leanne 4.50 0.9 2-1
5 5 Kalliste Rose 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Wise Eyes 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Anita Marie 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Showit 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Syrah 2.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Critter 10.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Get One More 15.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Hissy Missy 15.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Nanabanana 20.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Dixie Wayne 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Elusive Secret 15.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Danzig Star 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Dat Girl 2.50 1.6 3-1
11 10 Kelly Be Krusin 3.00 1.7 3-1
12 11 Mary Alice 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Lucky Road 15.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Wish for Candy 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Laura Belle 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grey Mask 12.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Swither’s Shortcut 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 El Asesino 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Hollywood Star 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Blended Lute 30.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Barry Lee 4.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Lionite 3.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Dahik 6.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 J’s Little Man 20.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Gotta Love Ike 20.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Daddy Jack 20.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Blacks Ferry Road 8.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 The Dark Jewel 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Biggs 2.50 1.7 3-1
12 11 Babadoook 20.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Reverend Don 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Slightly Crafty 15.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Gone Dancing 4.50 3.4 6-1
11 10 Blanco Bronco 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Bravura Creek 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Rickhouse 15.00 1.2 2-1
3 2 Gold Backed 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Roar of the Lion 10.00 1.9 4-1
1A 7 Defender 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Zing Zang 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Power Song 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 3 Come On Dover 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 11 Tizpure 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Carlos Sixes 3.50 7.3 14-1
7 8 Paynt Your Eggs 12.00 8.8 17-1
8 9 Broadway Ice 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 A Real Gem 10.00 1.4 3-1
9 8 Sylvia’s Rocket 10.00 1.4 3-1
4 3 Arkyarkyarky 8.00 1.4 3-1
13 12 Little Slew 10.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Foxy Box 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Sheshed 6.00 1.6 3-1
11 10 Plus Size Value 20.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Heffington 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Lil’ Shopper 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Our Lizzy Lou 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 D R C’s Arm Candy 10.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Starvana 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Azlynn’s Dreamer 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wheres Mom 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Violent Ridge 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Coach Adams 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Icatiro 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 6 He’s No Bull 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Futile 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Lewys Vaporizer 4.50 6.9 13-1
6 5 Codetowin 8.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Ender 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Raggedy Annie 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Elite Song 4.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Party Lights 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Sweet Kisses 1.40 2.4 5-1
5 5 Kiss the Girl 2.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Luck 15.00 1.2 2-1
12 12 Cruzin Como 20.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Elusive Ride 12.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 It’s All Cash 12.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mi Bella 20.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Dawdle 10.00 1.3 3-1
11 11 Chateau Hope 5.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Hungry N Scrappy 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Chaldea 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Auction Fever 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lil Red Vette 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Golden Lily 12.00 3.4 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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