Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 20, 2020

February 20, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Impressive Greely 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Runtotexas 5.00 2.3 4-1
11 10 Eepoppork Time 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Castleman 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Half Tag 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Half Ours N Stormy 3.50 4 7-1
6 5 Carlos Fine Custom 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Laken Longlegs 4.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Steve’s Vision 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Western Star 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Saturday’s Gold 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Coach O 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Gotta Go 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 5 Survey 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Day 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Greeley Can Win 5.00 SCRATCH
10 6 Pat Me Down 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Kye’s Addycat 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 General Tone 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Classic Greeley 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 4 Southpine Gift 12.00 8 15-1
3 3 Whatafind 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Amazing Sound 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Redding Coteau 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Purple Heart Road 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Scrimmage 3.50 3.7 7-1
11 11 Our Prince 3.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Don’t Look 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Everydayschristmas 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Bigboyshowshart 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Ambassador House 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Hey Chatain 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Escape the Galaxy 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 See Carlos Run 2.50 3.4 6-1
10 10 Aw Shucks 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Emma’s Logic 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Contraband 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Alys Appointment 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 5 Smooth Man 15.00 5.5 10-1
1A 12 Oliver’s Prayer 15.00 SCRATCH
2B 11 Holy Sunrise 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 9 Successful Shot 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 4 Whistling Wind 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 2 Nickelonthetrack 8.00 7.8 15-1
5 3 Smokin’ Truth 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Euroeast 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Go Get That 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Thunder Box 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 I’ll Raise You 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Trebulski 4.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Jack’s Kiss 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 My Pal Kay 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Luke the Drifter 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Mile R Meaux 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Relentless Attack 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Half a Million 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Hot Yankee 4.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 My Cowgirl 3.00 4 7-1
7 7 Peggys Ouest 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Wandernintheforest 4.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Gentlemen’s Girl 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Untethered Soul 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Feels Right 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Emma’s Gift 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Rosemary Beach 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Rock the Jukebox 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lucky Queen 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Better Angels 2.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Madison’s Place 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Callhermrsgelner 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Togarock 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Clever Music 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Double Red 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Miss Dawn 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Nonchalantly 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Diva’s Ransom 3.00 4 7-1
7 7 Mattie E 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Aunt Bae Bae 2.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Tiz the Time 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Fiery Flash 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Hiclass Production 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Suckerforagrey 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Viking Voyage 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Friday’s Gold 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Peggie in the Wild 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 La Jazz 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Spanish Exchange 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Mischievous Girl 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Golden Knot 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Betty Gets Better 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Little T 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 D’cat Blues 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Missbudlitelime 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Brooklyn’s Grip 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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