Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 20, 2020

February 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Midnight Banker 1.40 1.8 3-1
1 1 Enough Love 1.60 1.9 4-1
5 5 Pebbles Fantasy 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Anydayisherday 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Song for Emma 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Newyorkciti Dancer 10.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 1.40 1.7 3-1
4 4 Siding Spring 1.60 2 4-1
5 5 Majid 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Outplay 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Street Trust 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 American Lincoln 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Impetuous 1.60 1.7 3-1
4 4 Notorious Flirt 1.80 1.9 4-1
3 3 Power Up Paynter 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Forever Wicked 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hold My Call 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Mission Wrapitup 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Clever Fellow 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Fast Gordon 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Kingfish 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Dancers for Token 1.20 2.7 5-1
2 2 Moonlight Now 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 My Primo 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Freedom and Whisky 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Our Circle of Love 1.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 New Year’s Wish 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 Gypsy Janie 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Slimey 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Posse Needed 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Justice of War 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Cause of Action 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Charge Ahead 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Impunity 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Principal Dancer 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Hudson Overpass 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Kadens Courage 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Intoxicologist 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Princess in Charge 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Nasty Affair 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Smiles From Sadie 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Two Graces 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Petalite 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 First Dawn 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Causin’ Trouble 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Carters Got Sass 1.20 2.2 4-1
8 7 Combat Ribbon 3.50 2.2 4-1
5A 4 Macho Boy 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Oneshotatforever 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Tipazo 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Lucky E 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Judiths Cougar 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Tuxedo Sunday 50.00 6.8 13-1
3A 3 False Alarm 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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