February 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Banker | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enough Love | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pebbles Fantasy | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anydayisherday | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Song for Emma | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Newyorkciti Dancer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Siding Spring | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majid | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outplay | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Trust | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Lincoln | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Impetuous | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notorious Flirt | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Up Paynter | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Wicked | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hold My Call | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mission Wrapitup | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clever Fellow | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Gordon | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingfish | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancers for Token | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Now | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Primo | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom and Whisky | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Circle of Love | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Year’s Wish | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Janie | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slimey | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Posse Needed | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Justice of War | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cause of Action | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charge Ahead | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impunity | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Principal Dancer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hudson Overpass | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kadens Courage | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Intoxicologist | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess in Charge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nasty Affair | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiles From Sadie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Graces | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Petalite | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Dawn | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Causin’ Trouble | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Carters Got Sass | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Combat Ribbon | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Macho Boy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oneshotatforever | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tipazo | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky E | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Judiths Cougar | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tuxedo Sunday | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | False Alarm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.