Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 17, 2020

February 17, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Playa Chica 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tig Tog (IRE) 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Indypendent Deputy 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Clockstrikestwelve 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dulverton Darling 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Wind Tartare (FR) 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Mongolian Window 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Imagineiamfastest 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Conquest Cobra 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Wilshire Dude 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Fast as Cass 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Play Hard to Get 3.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kittyhawk Lass 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sapphire Kid 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Pretty Point 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Kynance (IRE) 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Out of Balance 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Eternal Endeavour (GB) 3.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ava’s Charm 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 D’s Lovely Sophia 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ce Ce 0.80 3.7 7-1
3 3 Rather Nosy 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Hang a Star 12.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Via Egnatia 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Blackout (FR) 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Tigerbeach 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Morgan S. 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Concur 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 Loud Mouth 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Portando 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Union Ride 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Castle 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gorky Park 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Itsthattime 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Big Hoof Dynamite 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Knifes Edge 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Govenor Cinch 1.80 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Wishing Well S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 An Eddie Surprise 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Miss Hot Legs 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Kentan Road 1.80 2.8 5-1
2 2 Apache Princess 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tonahutu (IRE) 8.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Reds Sacred Appeal 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tiz Wonderfully 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Meso 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Atina (ARG) 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Whoa Nessie 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Cimarron 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Discreet Diva 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Ruby Bradley 4.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Zoning 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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