February 17, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bridlecrest | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Knokke by the Sea | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Asbury Ave | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marnesia One Step | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shiloh Lane | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Little Town Blues | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbonatboylesbar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taylor’s Belle | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Iza One | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pablo’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just a Dream | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz a Tribute | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Graveyard Shift | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | September Breeze | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pascha Pascha | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Claire Bear | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Comfortably Cool | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Craigger | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hide the Ransom | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bullzilla | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Impossebull | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Zrada | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | E T’s Warrior | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secret Secret | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Banker’s Island | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Window Table | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Noble Kent | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vizcaino | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Your Words | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You Tell Me | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gourmet Delight | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My Pirate | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Midnight Harbor | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Very Colorful | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Good Save | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Phi Lii | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Current Situation | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Presto Change O | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fastroadahead | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Allgussiedup | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yourindenial | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gunfighter’s Girl | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quiet Please | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magicallydelicious | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mary’s Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Malibu At Midnight | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Macho Miah | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Winning the Medal | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Truly a Moon Shot | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | R Jolley Dreamer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | So Noted | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bust Another | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Social Media | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Thomas Knight | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Malibu High | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jack O Liam | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | No More Strippers | 20.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Match Up | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Readyheartandsoul | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Smart and Tough | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hidenseek Sally | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trunk of Money | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Neck | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Victoria E | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oceano Rosso | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not Leaving | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nisha | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creedibility | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chubofftheoldblock | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Britches | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Robin Hood | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flat Out Flashy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Blue | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Long Gray Line | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bumperdoo | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Admiral Abe | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Commandeering | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flat Out Flying | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Flat Out Beautiful | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dreamer’s Moon | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Glowing Star | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz a Date | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Saffron Spirit | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Music Maker | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hay Buck | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Promised Storm | 1.20 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Turn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Lookingforanewspot | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Star Lo | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | What About Tonight | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anissa | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bad Nana | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pansy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen of Schmooze | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Madame Tiger | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Natalie La Rose | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Big Red Seven | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trappe Me Later | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | To the Flag | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Chesa Charm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Top Hat Tizzy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Bourbon Honey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.