Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 17, 2020

February 17, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Bridlecrest 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Knokke by the Sea 2.50 4 7-1
7 6 Asbury Ave 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Marnesia One Step 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Shiloh Lane 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Little Town Blues 3.50 5 10-1
2 2 Bourbonatboylesbar 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Taylor’s Belle 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Iza One 2.50 5 9-1
6 5 Pablo’s Dream 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Just a Dream 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 3 Tiz a Tribute 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 6 Graveyard Shift 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 September Breeze 3.00 6 11-1
8 7 Pascha Pascha 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Our Claire Bear 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Comfortably Cool 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Craigger 2.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hide the Ransom 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bullzilla 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Impossebull 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Dr Zrada 1.80 5.8 11-1
4 4 E T’s Warrior 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Secret Secret 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Banker’s Island 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Window Table 3.50 5.9 11-1
9 8 Noble Kent 4.00 6 11-1
2 2 Vizcaino 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Watch Your Words 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 You Tell Me 3.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Gourmet Delight 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 10 My Pirate 15.00 7.9 15-1
8A 7 Midnight Harbor 12.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Very Colorful 20.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Good Save 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Phi Lii 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Current Situation 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Presto Change O 2.50 5.6 11-1
9 8 Fastroadahead 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Allgussiedup 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Yourindenial 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 2 Gunfighter’s Girl 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 4 Rolls Royce Joyce 3.00 8 15-1
6 5 Quiet Please 8.00 8 15-1
2 2 Magicallydelicious 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mary’s Song 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Malibu At Midnight 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Macho Miah 8.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Winning the Medal 1.80 7 13-1
5 3 Truly a Moon Shot 20.00 7.1 13-1
13 11 R Jolley Dreamer 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 7 So Noted 12.00 7.8 15-1
10 8 Bust Another 3.50 8 15-1
14 12 Social Media 20.00 8 15-1
4 2 Thomas Knight 4.50 8 15-1
7 5 Malibu High 20.00 8 15-1
6 4 Jack O Liam 12.00 8.1 15-1
8A 6 No More Strippers 20.00 13.9 26-1
1 1 Match Up 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Readyheartandsoul 2.00 SCRATCH
15A 15 Smart and Tough 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hidenseek Sally 3.00 4 7-1
2 2 Trunk of Money 4.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Little Neck 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Victoria E 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Oceano Rosso 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Not Leaving 2.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Nisha 4.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Creedibility 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Chubofftheoldblock 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Lucky Britches 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Robin Hood 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 6 Flat Out Flashy 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 True Blue 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Long Gray Line 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Bumperdoo 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 1 Admiral Abe 12.00 6.1 12-1
10A 9 Commandeering 2.50 6.7 13-1
5 4 Flat Out Flying 8.00 7.2 14-1
1A 1 Flat Out Beautiful 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dreamer’s Moon 3.00 3.4 7-1
7 6 Glowing Star 10.00 4 8-1
6 5 Tiz a Date 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Saffron Spirit 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Music Maker 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 4 Hay Buck 8.00 5 10-1
8 7 Promised Storm 1.20 6.5 12-1
2 2 Sweet Turn 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Lookingforanewspot 4.50 5.1 10-1
9 8 Miss Star Lo 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 What About Tonight 3.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Anissa 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Bad Nana 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Pansy 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Queen of Schmooze 4.50 7.1 13-1
10 9 Madame Tiger 3.50 8.8 17-1
4 3 Natalie La Rose 10.00 8.9 17-1
2A 2 Big Red Seven 6.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Trappe Me Later 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 To the Flag 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 My Chesa Charm 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Top Hat Tizzy 20.00 SCRATCH
15A 15 Bourbon Honey 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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