Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 17, 2020

February 17, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 High Risk Strategy 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Stuart Hall 8.00 3.6 7-1
1A 1 The Rouge Diesel 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Frost Or Frippery 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Charlie’sarchangel 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Red Again 2.50 4.1 8-1
2A 2 Tales of War 3.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Kenzou’s Rhythm 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moonshine Miss 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sekani 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Many Sweet Treats 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Dixie Cat 8.00 5 9-1
7 6 Mocha Kiss 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Brisa 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Julie Arkansas 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Marquee Cowboy 8.00 7.2 14-1
12 10 Comanche Moon 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 9 Luck’s Good Girl 20.00 8.5 16-1
13 11 Ms Sassy Atitude 6.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Spurwink Lane 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Guest in My Heart 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Too Pretty 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Destiny Way 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Shoal Bay 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Bogey 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Sir Brahms 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Wasabi Moon 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 I Am 3.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Destinedtobeastar 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Moon Dog Spot 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Bandit Point 4.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Town Champ 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Replete 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Miracle Hill 4.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Victory Element 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Exultation 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Light of the World 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Courting a Kiss 3.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Senor Jobim 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Notorious 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Tipsy Gal 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 French Cafe 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sacred Union 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Lucky Betty 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Quick Decision 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 She’s Xtremely Hot 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Gurl You Fine 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Adhwaa 20.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Call Dish 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Bayakoa S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Whoa Nellie 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Gold Standard 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Motion Emotion 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Go Google Yourself 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lady Suebee 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cairenn 6.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Parade Field 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Starship Zeus 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Pickford 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Soaring Bird 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Ucanthankmelater 4.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Sonic Jet 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Gigging 5.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Home Run Trick 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Potomac 3.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Gum Tree Lane 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 East Moon Lake 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Razorback H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rated R Superstar 30.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Exulting 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Warrior’s Charge 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bankit 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Math Wizard 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Pioneer Spirit 3.50 4.7 9-1
9 9 Campaign 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Joevia 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Guest Suite 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Snapper Sinclair 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Bravazo 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Southwest S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Villainous 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Wells Bayou 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Silver Prospector 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Taishan 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Chase Tracker 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Answer In 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Shoplifted 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Gold Street 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 American Butterfly 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Boating Party 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Shaka 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Background 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Warrior’s Map 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Front Man 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Dreamonmebaby 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Went 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Tiz the Journey 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Wild Union 2.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Ahsad 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Recklessness 20.00 7.7 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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