Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 16, 2020

February 16, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Union Maiden 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Be Present 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Stonewood 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Cassey’s Girl 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Grey Jazmine 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Not a Problem 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Remanded 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Valletta 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Royal Meghan 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vinestone 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Severus 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Starship Fonzy 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Gambit 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Indy Rules 30.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Dardanellos 3.00 5 9-1
7 7 Titere 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Maturin 4.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Frenchmen Street 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hard Belle 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Xy Speed 3.50 4 7-1
3 2 The Critical Way 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Phantom Ro 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Pocket Change 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 End Play 1.20 SCRATCH
7 7 Pemaquid Pete 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 How Sweep It Is 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sizzling Roma 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Shes One Mad Momma 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dude’s Secret 30.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Susikin 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Note to Selfie 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Stronger Kat 3.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mrs. S 4.00 5.6 11-1
14 5 Girardi 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Justleaveitalone 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 4 Miss Cheeny 50.00 7.3 14-1
5 3 Jeweled Princess 4.50 8.9 17-1
2 2 Follow the Flag 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Veer 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stand Tall 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 One Time Around 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mimina’s Team 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Lipstikliesnlovers 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cat Lady 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unforeseen 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sweden 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 No Bull Jack 20.00 3.4 6-1
3 1 Uniquely Mine 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 Above Par 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 3 Mane Attraction 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 5 Our Fantasy 6.00 8.2 16-1
13 6 Money Never Sleeps 8.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Stormy Derby Day 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Better With Age 12.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Maries Melody 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lanesborough 10.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Philly Special 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Wicked Mercury 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Act Like Artie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miles Ahead 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Miami Crockett 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Silverly Enough 3.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bahamian Prince 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Broadway Pete 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Like You 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Flash Pass 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Neverstopdreaming 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Roddick 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 3 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Prince of Arabia 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Another 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dragon Bay 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Proquestor 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Heza Kitten 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Lemonist 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Babie Monster 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Enlisting 4.50 5.2 10-1
9 7 Put Position 6.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Grace’s Drama 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 She Takes Heart 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Motion’s First 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Vicky Apple 3.50 6.9 13-1
6 5 Denver 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Ledecky 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Brookes All Mine 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kindhearted Kota 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Queen of Shades 1.40 3.4 6-1
4 2 Glory Dia 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 1 Royal Mistress 8.00 4 8-1
6 4 Drop a Hint 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 5 Compensate 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Foolish Humor 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mrs. Maisel 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Hear My Prayer 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 5 Third Army 4.00 5 9-1
5 3 Go Away 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Aequor 6.00 6.2 12-1
14 6 Winking At Thedude 3.50 6.5 12-1
15 7 Beast Mode 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Guy Caballero 5.00 6.8 13-1
11 4 Maryland Pride 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Donnels Creek 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Snap Hook 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 All Around 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Devoted Kitten 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 My Brothersledge 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cabinet Pik 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tricky Magician 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bugle Barry 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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