February 16, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Union Maiden | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Be Present | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Stonewood | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Cassey’s Girl | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Grey Jazmine | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Not a Problem | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Remanded | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Valletta | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Royal Meghan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Vinestone | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Severus | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Starship Fonzy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Gambit | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Indy Rules | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Dardanellos | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Titere | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Maturin | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Frenchmen Street | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Hard Belle | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Xy Speed | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | The Critical Way | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Phantom Ro | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
8 | 6 | Pocket Change | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | End Play | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Pemaquid Pete | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | How Sweep It Is | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Sizzling Roma | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Shes One Mad Momma | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Dude’s Secret | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Susikin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Note to Selfie | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Stronger Kat | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Mrs. S | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
14 | 5 | Girardi | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 2 | Justleaveitalone | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
9 | 4 | Miss Cheeny | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
5 | 3 | Jeweled Princess | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
2 | 2 | Follow the Flag | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Veer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Stand Tall | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | One Time Around | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Mimina’s Team | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Lipstikliesnlovers | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Cat Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Unforeseen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Sweden | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 2 | No Bull Jack | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 1 | Uniquely Mine | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
6 | 4 | Above Par | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
5 | 3 | Mane Attraction | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
7 | 5 | Our Fantasy | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
13 | 6 | Money Never Sleeps | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Stormy Derby Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Better With Age | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 6 | Maries Melody | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Lanesborough | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 7 | Philly Special | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Wicked Mercury | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Act Like Artie | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Miles Ahead | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Miami Crockett | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Silverly Enough | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Bahamian Prince | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Broadway Pete | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Like You | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Flash Pass | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Neverstopdreaming | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Roddick | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 3 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Prince of Arabia | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Another | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Dragon Bay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Proquestor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Heza Kitten | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Lemonist | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Babie Monster | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Enlisting | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
9 | 7 | Put Position | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 7 | Grace’s Drama | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 2 | She Takes Heart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
8 | 6 | Motion’s First | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Vicky Apple | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
6 | 5 | Denver | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ledecky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Brookes All Mine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Kindhearted Kota | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 3 | Queen of Shades | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 2 | Glory Dia | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 1 | Royal Mistress | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 4 | Drop a Hint | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 5 | Compensate | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Foolish Humor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Mrs. Maisel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Hear My Prayer | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 5 | Third Army | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 3 | Go Away | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Aequor | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
14 | 6 | Winking At Thedude | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
15 | 7 | Beast Mode | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
3 | 2 | Guy Caballero | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
11 | 4 | Maryland Pride | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Donnels Creek | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Snap Hook | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | All Around | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Devoted Kitten | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | My Brothersledge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Cabinet Pik | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Tricky Magician | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Bugle Barry | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.