Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 16, 2020

February 16, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Curlin Grey 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Blue Steel 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Got Gold 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 Overzealous 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Chop Chop Charlie 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Strut the Ring 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 4 Illusionista 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 2 Wood Bee 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sense of Self 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Diamond and Silks 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Save the Day 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Honeywhiskeynwine 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Caribbean Kitten 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fiona Power 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Goingtoagogo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heart Warrior 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Sparkys Surprise 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 V Tach M. D. 3.50 4 7-1
1 1 Drunken Fridays 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Carter Cat 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Worthy 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Time On Target 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rain Drop Kid 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Louisiana Moon 4.00 5.6 11-1
16 6 Magic Vow 6.00 6.7 13-1
12 5 Much Class 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 3 Jus Dream Big 5.00 7 13-1
10 4 Lucky Andy 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Looking for Bull 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Gladyousawme 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 My First Guitar 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Eatorbeeaten 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Royal Rocket 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pancho’s Lucky Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sand Pit Road 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Musical Man 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Love Conquers 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 King Cake 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Gracida 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Quikfast N Ahurry 1.80 2.9 5-1
7 6 Great in Red 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Streettalkinhottie 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gilded Apple 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 7 Money for Mama 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 My Baby Bele 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Lil Ashley B. 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Playin N Traffic 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Whimsical Muse 6.00 2.4 5-1
11 8 Have No Fear 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 4 Maybe I Can 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 6 Savvy Ally 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Destiny’s Darling 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Newellton 4.50 5.8 11-1
10 7 Glamour Gal 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Malibu Dawn 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Stellar Agent 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Grey Seal 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hello Bubbles 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Canihaveitlikethat 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Texas Troubador 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 He’s the Souperwon 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cool Quartet 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Nice of Me 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ashlee’s Reward 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Slick Dude 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Laughing Bobby 3.50 5.8 11-1
10 10 Runaway Wind 3.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tommytoshort 10.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Muscadine 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Breezy Money 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Don’tshowweakness 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Hurricane Party 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 7 Schmoozin 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 3 Digital Star 5.00 7.7 15-1
9 6 Lonely Private 3.50 8.1 15-1
2 2 Sky Ride 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Good One 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Broadcast Legend 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Silver Seabee 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jupestar 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Homebred 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quisty Boy 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 El Hombre 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Kowboy’s Bobo 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Tune My Guitar 1.60 4.4 8-1
1 1 Jennovodka 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Two Date 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Striking Star 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 I Don’t Fly Coach 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Fix D Fence 20.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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