February 16, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Curlin Grey | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blue Steel | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Got Gold | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Overzealous | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chop Chop Charlie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strut the Ring | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Illusionista | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Wood Bee | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sense of Self | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Diamond and Silks | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Save the Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Honeywhiskeynwine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean Kitten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fiona Power | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Goingtoagogo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heart Warrior | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sparkys Surprise | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | V Tach M. D. | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drunken Fridays | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carter Cat | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Worthy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time On Target | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rain Drop Kid | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Louisiana Moon | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 6 | Magic Vow | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Much Class | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Jus Dream Big | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Lucky Andy | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looking for Bull | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gladyousawme | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My First Guitar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eatorbeeaten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Royal Rocket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sand Pit Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Musical Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Love Conquers | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | King Cake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gracida | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Great in Red | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streettalkinhottie | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gilded Apple | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Money for Mama | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Baby Bele | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Ashley B. | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playin N Traffic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Whimsical Muse | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Have No Fear | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Maybe I Can | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Savvy Ally | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Destiny’s Darling | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Newellton | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Glamour Gal | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Malibu Dawn | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Agent | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Grey Seal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hello Bubbles | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Canihaveitlikethat | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Troubador | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s the Souperwon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Quartet | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nice of Me | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashlee’s Reward | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slick Dude | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laughing Bobby | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Runaway Wind | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommytoshort | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Muscadine | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Money | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Don’tshowweakness | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hurricane Party | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Schmoozin | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Digital Star | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lonely Private | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Ride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Good One | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Broadcast Legend | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silver Seabee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jupestar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Homebred | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quisty Boy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Hombre | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kowboy’s Bobo | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tune My Guitar | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jennovodka | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Date | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Star | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fix D Fence | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.