Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 15, 2020

February 15, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Start a Runnin 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Swamp Souffle 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Tough It Out 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tequila Joe 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 French Getaway 3.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Implicitly 12.00 5 10-1
1 1 Buster Douglas (BRZ) 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Mongolian Sunrise 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Kirsch Truffle 1.80 4.1 8-1
7 5 Slew South 1.20 4.5 8-1
3 2 Kitty’s Whiskers 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Osteria 4.50 5 9-1
2 2 Miss Georgie Gal 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 West Way Dreams 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Princeofthenorth 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Papa Tony 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Bad Beat 1.60 4.1 8-1
2 2 Leatherneck 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 You’reright Again 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sky Jumper 1.60 2.4 4-1
6 6 Tailback 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Cape Point 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Street Demand 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Tyrannical Rex 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Me Macho 5.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Satanta 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tromador 6.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Moonoverthebayou 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Factorial 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Mayan Warrior 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Battle of Memphis (IRE) 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Terrible Ted 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Raul Rosas 5.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Lucky Romano 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Golden Image 30.00 6 11-1
3 3 First in Show 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Chico Baby 50.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Time N Money 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Big Headed Baby 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Bowl of Spaghetti 2.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 J C’s Henrietta 30.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Siberian Tigah 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 King Parker 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Afirmjjjojorule 30.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Calder Vale 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Git On Your Pulpit 3.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Wesphire 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Jamming Eddy 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Push Through 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Incredible Luck 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Play Money 5.00 5.5 10-1
11 10 Foster Boi 3.50 6 11-1
8 7 Suances Secret 50.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Coast of Roan 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Kakistocracy 4.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 General Interest 6.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Fast as Cass 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Monica S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mother Mother 1.60 2.4 5-1
1 1 Road Rager 30.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Lady Ninja 2.00 3 6-1
2 2 Zusha 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Hard Not to Love 1.20 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lemon Kick 12.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Cosmo 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Jurgen 2.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Leprino 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Show Business 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 War Path 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Time to Testify 30.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Dominant Soul 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Absolute Unit 3.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Pure Carmine 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Port Saint Joe 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Frasard (GB) 10.00 6.9 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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