February 15, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Start a Runnin | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swamp Souffle | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tough It Out | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Joe | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | French Getaway | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Implicitly | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Mongolian Sunrise | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kirsch Truffle | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Slew South | 1.20 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kitty’s Whiskers | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Osteria | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Georgie Gal | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | West Way Dreams | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princeofthenorth | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Tony | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Beat | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leatherneck | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | You’reright Again | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sky Jumper | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tailback | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Point | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Demand | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tyrannical Rex | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Me Macho | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Satanta | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tromador | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Moonoverthebayou | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Factorial | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mayan Warrior | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Battle of Memphis (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Terrible Ted | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raul Rosas | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Romano | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Image | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First in Show | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chico Baby | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Time N Money | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Headed Baby | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bowl of Spaghetti | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J C’s Henrietta | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Siberian Tigah | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Parker | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afirmjjjojorule | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calder Vale | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Git On Your Pulpit | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Wesphire | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jamming Eddy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Push Through | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incredible Luck | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Play Money | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Foster Boi | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Suances Secret | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coast of Roan | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kakistocracy | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | General Interest | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast as Cass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Monica S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mother Mother | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road Rager | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Ninja | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zusha | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Not to Love | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lemon Kick | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cosmo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jurgen | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leprino | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Show Business | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Path | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Testify | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dominant Soul | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Unit | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pure Carmine | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Port Saint Joe | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frasard (GB) | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.