February 15, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | C P Quality | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Miss | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizanillusion | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fairwayngreen | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Hawt Mess | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Sophie’s Angel | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Josie the E F Five | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Plane Talk | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connection | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sycamore Run | 1.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stock Deal | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Biz | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southside Swig | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai’s Dream | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rip It Ryan | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Italian Justice | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wacca Wacca Wacca | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Dime | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inthemidstofbiz | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Punish | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Haleys Heist | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Precious | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Michelle’s Grace | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frontier Woman | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fairy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Gumwrapper | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wenyen | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tough Company | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time Heist | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rahaal | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Its My Bag Baby | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Profusion | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | That Dude | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Hit | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risky Situation | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Siete Leguas | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sturgill | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onaway | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Miracle | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skol Factor | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pneumatic | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | North Side | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Witherspoon | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s Pride | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baba Lou | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New Eagle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Something Natural | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alpha Sixty Six | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Davidic Line | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Life On the Road | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devil’s Drama | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shackleford’s Joy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play the Wildcard | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tick Tack Mo | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lexi On the Move | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wicked Smart | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Coco Caballo | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Caged Bear | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Magically Honored | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Catechism | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Austin’s Gal | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Collude | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promises Kept | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Slovak | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ourbestfriend D L | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Lucky | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mojo Man | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nero | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manny Wah | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Operation Stevie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Westfest | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Banjoman | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gordy Florida | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Specially | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ring Leader | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Firecracker | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Seneca | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wasabi Girl | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bonny South | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seahawk Lisa | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fifthatnarraganset | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Kat Taps | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Happiness | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Compelling Smile | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shedaresthedevil | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jilted Bride | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cowgirl Kimmie | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s All Wolfe | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.