Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 15, 2020

February 15, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 C P Quality 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Sterling Miss 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tizanillusion 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Fairwayngreen 10.00 3.5 7-1
5A 5 Hawt Mess 6.00 3.7 7-1
6A 6 Sophie’s Angel 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Josie the E F Five 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Plane Talk 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Connection 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sycamore Run 1.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Stock Deal 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Big Biz 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Southside Swig 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Shanghai’s Dream 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Rip It Ryan 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Italian Justice 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Wacca Wacca Wacca 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 She’s a Dime 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Inthemidstofbiz 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Punish 6.00 5 9-1
10 9 Haleys Heist 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Flat Precious 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Michelle’s Grace 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Frontier Woman 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Fairy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 Gumwrapper 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Wenyen 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Tough Company 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Time Heist 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Rahaal 6.00 5.5 10-1
8A 8 Its My Bag Baby 3.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 Profusion 6.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 That Dude 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Silver Hit 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Risky Situation 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Siete Leguas 6.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sturgill 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Onaway 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Divine Miracle 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Skol Factor 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Pneumatic 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 North Side 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Witherspoon 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Liam’s Pride 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Baba Lou 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 New Eagle 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Something Natural 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Alpha Sixty Six 2.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Davidic Line 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Life On the Road 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Devil’s Drama 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Shackleford’s Joy 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Play the Wildcard 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Tick Tack Mo 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Lexi On the Move 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 Wicked Smart 4.00 3.3 6-1
10 8 Coco Caballo 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Caged Bear 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Magically Honored 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Catechism 5.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 Austin’s Gal 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Collude 3.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 Promises Kept 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Slovak 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ourbestfriend D L 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Flat Lucky 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Mojo Man 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Nero 2.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Manny Wah 2.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Operation Stevie 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Westfest 20.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Mister Banjoman 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Gordy Florida 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Specially 1.20 2.6 5-1
2 2 Ring Leader 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Miss Firecracker 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sassy Seneca 5.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Wasabi Girl 1.80 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bonny South 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Seahawk Lisa 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Fifthatnarraganset 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Black Kat Taps 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Perfect Happiness 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Compelling Smile 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Shedaresthedevil 2.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Jilted Bride 4.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Cowgirl Kimmie 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 She’s All Wolfe 12.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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