Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 15, 2020

February 15, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Tap Memories 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Roan Mountain 20.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Avant Garde 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Farm Strong 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Franco’s Team 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Sultannes Crown 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Still Schemin 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Storm Risk 4.50 6.4 12-1
10 10 Croi Mor 1.60 6.7 13-1
9 9 Ultraconfident 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Lovedisc 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 At the Beach 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Animal Trick 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 American River (VEN) 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Totono 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mr Chaplin 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Arrivederla 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Pango 1.20 4.2 8-1
5 5 Discreet Heat 6.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rag Tag 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Attachment Rate 2.50 3.4 7-1
7 7 Brand 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Seven and Seven 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sag Harbor 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bychance 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mr. Philly Dilly 1.80 5.1 10-1
6 6 Tons of Gold 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 My G P S 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 4 L’ Cristabal 10.00 4 8-1
9 5 Earthquake 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 3 Quick Enough 1.60 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mr. Cesco 4.50 7.3 14-1
2 2 Verdict Is In 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Shanghai Moon 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Captain Flint 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Yadi 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Money Moves 3.00 2 4-1
12 11 Touchpoint 4.00 3 6-1
11 10 Astaire 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Teriyaki 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Metcalf 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Tartufo 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Pianzi 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Mukulwitz 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Sky Mischief 5.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Sagamore Mischief 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Tapi Frost 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Gallantry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Resident 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Starship Apollo 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Black Pepper 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Kyle 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Particularity 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Ray’swarrior 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Colormepompom 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Walk Up Music 10.00 4.4 8-1
12 10 Oxide 6.00 6.1 11-1
8 6 Sandro the Great 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 5 Hooyah 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Turn of Events 4.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Or’effice 5.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Win d’Oro 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Tapage 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Paintsville 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 9 Elusive Ruler 12.00 12.6 24-1
5 5 Water Wall 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tapaloof 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Juulstone 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Scanno 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Skyray 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Buy Me Candy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 R Lovely Julz 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Kerry It 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 2 Angelic Knugget 30.00 4.5 9-1
6 4 Catalina R 50.00 5 9-1
1 1 Secret Miss 3.00 5.4 10-1
8 6 Princess Carrigan 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Alafia 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Onezy’s Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sue’s Monster Baby 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Souper Jaguar 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Undaunted 10.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Transistor 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Gray Beau 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 First and Three 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mozo Bello 2.50 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Enjoyitwhilewecan 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 High Road 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Codrington 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Soul Spirit 20.00 5.1 10-1
10 5 Isla Road 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Designing 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Maid in the Mist 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 All Quality 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sweet Hitch Hiker 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bean Counter 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Royal Delta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cookie Dough 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Coach Rocks 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Golden Award 1.80 2.9 5-1
1 1 Queen Nekia 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tweeting 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Restless Rider 2.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 La Meilleure 4.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Jeana’s Gem 10.00 5 9-1
8 6 Bay Harbor 15.00 6.5 12-1
14 7 Beauty Buzz 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 2 Mariposa Belle 12.00 8 15-1
4 3 Tizahra 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 5 Second Coming 12.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Astoundment 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ocean Fire 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Noble Alma 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Quiet Company 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fuddled (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Smack 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Pardon My Heart 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 New Hope Road 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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