February 15, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wandering West | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patrol | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twelth Man | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speaking of Credit | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sixteen Tons | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fixation | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Amanjena | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Adversary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bronxville | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | True Blue Giant | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Split Verdict | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Smidge | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our American Star | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Inclunation | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | First Dawn | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Freddymo Factor | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fight On Lucy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond N Simon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gilda Marie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Little Song | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peaches and Spice | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Today Comes Once | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Charlotte Webley | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Starr | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stonezapper | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Misty Taste | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bankers Daughter | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Kiki | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Havin’ a Party | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad for Fame | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girl’s Wave | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steal My Heart | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Becca Takes Charge | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Here Comes Helen | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Barbara P | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dazzling Speed | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caralicious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Remembering Bobbie | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Fantasy | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Lumberjane | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Orbilicious | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heartstrings | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its a Chance | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Appreciate | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kinky Sox | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hawaiian Noises | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win With Pride | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preamble | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Distortion | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Halo | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Life in Shambles | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Hoffman | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Freudian Sip | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bulwark | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Twenty Nine | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Papa Jim | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Coolboy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh My Papa | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morgantown | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Centrist | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Possetizzly | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ventus | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quintarelli | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Broadway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hay Field | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stonesintheroad | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Offer | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Orbit | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kept True | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Let’s Maga | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Deja Raconte | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Ukiah | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Escort | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Take It All Back | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Ross | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Angels and Us | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Magical Romance | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queenofeverything | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Jill | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Breeze | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Funderella | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Sassy Secret | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.