Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 15, 2020

February 15, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wandering West 1.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Patrol 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Twelth Man 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Speaking of Credit 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sixteen Tons 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fixation 20.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Amanjena 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Awesome Adversary 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bronxville 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 4 True Blue Giant 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 6 Split Verdict 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 5 Smidge 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Our American Star 20.00 5 9-1
2A 2 Inclunation 2.00 5.1 10-1
10 7 First Dawn 20.00 7.9 15-1
4A 4 Dr. Devera’s Way 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Freddymo Factor 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Fight On Lucy 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Diamond N Simon 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Gilda Marie 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Little Song 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Peaches and Spice 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Today Comes Once 6.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Charlotte Webley 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Sharp Starr 3.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Stonezapper 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Misty Taste 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bankers Daughter 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dancing Kiki 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Havin’ a Party 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Mad for Fame 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Girl’s Wave 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Steal My Heart 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Becca Takes Charge 4.50 2.5 5-1
11 10 Here Comes Helen 30.00 4.3 8-1
13 12 Barbara P 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Dazzling Speed 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Caralicious 30.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Remembering Bobbie 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Summer Fantasy 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 She’s a Lumberjane 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Orbilicious 8.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Heartstrings 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Its a Chance 6.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Appreciate 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Kinky Sox 30.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hawaiian Noises 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Aristocratic 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Swiping Dan 30.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Win With Pride 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Preamble 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 No Distortion 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Blessed Halo 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Life in Shambles 3.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bustin Hoffman 5.00 3.4 6-1
7A 7 Freudian Sip 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Bulwark 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Ten Twenty Nine 12.00 3.9 7-1
6A 6 Bronx Bomber 3.50 4.9 9-1
10 10 Papa Jim 6.00 5 9-1
12 12 Coolboy 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Oh My Papa 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Morgantown 15.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 Centrist 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Possetizzly 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Ventus 50.00 6 11-1
4 4 Quintarelli 50.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Broadway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hay Field 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Stonesintheroad 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cash Offer 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Out of Orbit 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Kept True 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bluegrass Jamboree 5.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Let’s Maga 8.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Deja Raconte 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Ukiah 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Lovely Escort 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Take It All Back 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Miss Ross 6.00 6.2 12-1
11 9 Angels and Us 50.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Magical Romance 30.00 6.6 13-1
9 8 Queenofeverything 1.80 6.8 13-1
10 10 Miss Jill 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sweet Breeze 50.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Funderella 6.00 7.1 13-1
13 10 Sassy Secret 50.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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