February 14, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zippninthecity | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Via Alpina | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Speed | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muchomoneybaby | 50.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Melodie | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy and Hot | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Riddle | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Derby Factor | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concord Jet | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rineshaft | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Valor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Knights | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polity | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Casillalater | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Your Royal Coil | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Kimberly K | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Writing in the Sky | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Ember | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Not War | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Baby Boo | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Teachers Big Dream | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Almost a Factor | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Moon | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sassyserb | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Navy Queen | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Devoted | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | California Kook | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Time for Ebby | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Megan | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Ms Jones | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silk From Heaven | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stormin Ranger | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Suzzie | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lippy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hootie | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectator’s Dream | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Ghost | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Kitty | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roaring Fork | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Erotic | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soberano (FR) | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Magico | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lifeline | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Der Lu | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chickatini | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starr of Quality | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaydetre | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Star | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dance Costume | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winds Aloft | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Magistrate | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oh Pretty Woman | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Hot for Curlin | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Sky | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Y Not Sizzle | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Durga | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Romance | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.