February 14, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | McLean House | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Danube | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapitontheside | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Campari | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Clear | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Got the Brahms | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Chukker | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Toria | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Included | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapidashqueen | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Alibi | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Reveille | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Lila | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoking Baby | 2.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Micro Margarita | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Evade | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Olive’s Bumpa | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calypso Ghost | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Win Then Grin | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vics Cool Cat | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Anne | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be Magic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Earned It | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Treasure | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Even Thunder | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pumpkin Star | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monkey’s Medal | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy Street | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Try Flying | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Line of Roses | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Estrella Grande | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Party Girl | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trading Cents | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Hopes | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majorie Mugs | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iam a Dancer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simmard Shenanigan | 1.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Expect Talk | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Lady | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Honorable Profit | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buddha Kai | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Personal Server | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Variance | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Girl | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Trouper | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not Interested | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’mthetapitnow | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nautical Nature | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baptize the Boy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mice and Men | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Royal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Lookout | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dirtyfoot | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Boots | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Jonathan McD | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Finbar | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smokin Hot Factor | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Outlaw | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Czar | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5B | 5 | Iwishiwaspecial | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4B | 4 | French’s Quest | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Will Munnings | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Buddy | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Laser Loop | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.