Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 14, 2020

February 14, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 McLean House 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Blue Danube 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tapitontheside 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Campari 1.60 4.1 8-1
5 5 All Clear 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 I Got the Brahms 30.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Last Chukker 4.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Toria 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Tiz Included 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Rapidashqueen 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Creative Alibi 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Our Reveille 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 My Lila 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Smoking Baby 2.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Micro Margarita 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Evade 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Olive’s Bumpa 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Calypso Ghost 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Win Then Grin 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Vics Cool Cat 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Princess Anne 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Be Magic 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Earned It 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Celtic Treasure 3.00 2.6 5-1
1A 1 Even Thunder 2.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Pumpkin Star 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Monkey’s Medal 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Savvy Street 8.00 5.1 10-1
7A 7 Try Flying 2.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Line of Roses 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Estrella Grande 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Perfect Party Girl 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Trading Cents 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Holiday Hopes 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Majorie Mugs 30.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Iam a Dancer 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Simmard Shenanigan 1.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Expect Talk 2.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Four Lady 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Honorable Profit 1.60 5.6 11-1
7 7 Buddha Kai 30.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Personal Server 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Variance 10.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Fancy Girl 30.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Broadway Trouper 3.50 6.9 13-1
8 8 Not Interested 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’mthetapitnow 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Nautical Nature 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Baptize the Boy 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Mice and Men 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Fort Royal 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Cape Lookout 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Dirtyfoot 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Big Boots 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Jonathan McD 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Finbar 20.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Smokin Hot Factor 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Fifty 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Unbridled Outlaw 1.40 3.5 7-1
1 1 Top Czar 30.00 3.9 7-1
5B 5 Iwishiwaspecial 15.00 5 9-1
4B 4 French’s Quest 15.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Will Munnings 3.50 6.2 12-1
10 10 Super Buddy 15.00 7.2 14-1
9A 9 Laser Loop 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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