February 14, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Classic Bowtie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More for U | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Glory Music | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jacobs Flyer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mikey’s Mouse | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Band Boss | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Run Homer | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One More Jump | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coach O’Shea | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Priority | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy One Sock | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piper’s Buttercup | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Quarter | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Loveu and Proudofu | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Keys to the Palace | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tensas Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | War Count | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phat and Fast | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greeley Went West | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adrenaline | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley’s Banker | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buckets | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pickett | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pay the Dream | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Robinson | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Patriot | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arabian Story | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Ekaterinoslav | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bayandbunny | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zenman | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Irish Hokie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tapizart | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ballyhack | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taamer | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sportster | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Kaliningrad | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smart Arch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Actress On Board | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rivetrix | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cry Like a Baby | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Patriot | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hero of Gold | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Color Fashioned | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My My My | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Lucky Star | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Robyns Luckylizard | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Blackline | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knight’s Cross | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Logical Myth | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Limnery | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clear for Action | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Martial Eagle | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Prospect | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Beautiful Wall | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Vision | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pont Du Gard | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kulik Bear | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Singapore Flash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hitch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Chop Chop Charlie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charming Lady | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alta’s Award | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Portrait | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She Can’t Sing | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evil Lyn | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halama | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Artie’s Rumor | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Easy Shot | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jazzy Justin | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tell Your Daddy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kearny County | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hierarchy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Secretary At War | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Speed Franco | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sir Truebadour | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Botswana | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Major Ridge | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | My Rainey Day | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Prophet | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Myblendofwhisky | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Boston Repo | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fat Clemenza | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | El Tristan | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cheers to Berti | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | King Bandit | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dude Greeley | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tin Roof Rusted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.