Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 14, 2020

February 14, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Discreet Randy 4.50 2 4-1
1A 6 Halo Carlos 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Aviators Palace 6.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Custom Pete 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Instan Wind 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 7 Max Pandowdy 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Youngboy 15.00 5 9-1
3 2 Jazzy G 2.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Drewtempo 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 He’s an Honest Man 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Such 3.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Little Mario 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Singinginthewind 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Hope for Value 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ray’s King 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Fire Makers Star 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 I’m d’Cat 4.50 7.5 14-1
1 1 Saved At Sea 6.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Freddieslilwildcat 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Cachito 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 See Sassy Run 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 R T’s Duchess 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Missgreeley’ssong 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Envoy’s Guilt 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Lauralee Cocodree 4.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Cleverinda 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Candy Candy Candy 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Crider Chase 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Devastating Beauty 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Two With a Ten 1.60 8.4 16-1
11 11 She’s a Fair Catch 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Southern Galaxy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Resilience of Love 4.50 4 8-1
1 9 Chief Envoy 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Theboyzdelight 2.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Aztec Delite 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Mr Red Sensation 5.00 5.5 10-1
1A 11 C C Harris 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 5 Dixie Beat 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Personal Double 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 8 Black Justice 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Handful of Stripes 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 It’s a Sweet One 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Crider Cash 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Bwana Go 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Chaosmos 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Intimidating 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Freedom Factor 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 King’s Share 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Meseta Diablo 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Landing Man 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Actif One 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Customs in Dixie 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Stang It 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 9 Quiet Trip 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 8 Wish for Interest 10.00 4.3 8-1
1A 6 Irish Priority 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Rhett’s Racer 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 7 Queen Shasta 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Blowing Bayou 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 2 Lovely Teton 5.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Honey Hearts 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Hooked On a Hit 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Just a Bandit 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Poopsie Doopsie 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Toga’s Margrock 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 L L L College Fund 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 D D’s Delight 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Arctic Peace 3.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 Can If I Can 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Parlay Pete 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 He’s a Lucky Man 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Goose 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Bold Thirst 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Corvette Spirit 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dr. Forman 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Nomo d’Oro 3.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 War Song 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 McLean 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Corrana En Limen 1.80 5.3 10-1
5 5 Dale’s Lil Bro 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Smooth Warrior 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tale of the Bull 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Hope for Change 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Prime Hook 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Our Bucket List 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Gone Wishin 5.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Charlie Gulch 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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