Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 13, 2020

February 13, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Channel Crossing 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Gangly 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mutineer 1.80 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sonny Smack 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hard to Park 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Alex’s Strike 6.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cinnafrijole 3.00 2 4-1
10 10 River Goddess 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Millie’s an Angel 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Scioto’s Shoes 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Hamazing Marnie 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Shadyngray 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Cloudywithachance 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Bonita’s Gold 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Wild Dez 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Dena’s Bold Move 6.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Front Door 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tapitor 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Popular Kid 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Good Good 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Hold On Angel 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Here’s Carlos 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dynamite Dan 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Adulator 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cyberburg 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Line of Faith 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Rich Princess 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dramatic Entrance 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Daddy’s Angel 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Country Dream 2.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Dixie Loving 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Arkansas Invasion 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Laneys Love 3.50 6.4 12-1
7 7 Sailaway and Hide 5.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Mica Bay 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Cowboys Dream 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Napoleon’s Empire 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Colonel Talbot 5.00 4 8-1
9 8 Starring John Wain 4.50 4.5 8-1
6 5 Candy Store 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Honoring Major 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 New Colossus 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Peppered 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Fayette Warrior 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Mucho Macho Dan 6.00 4.3 8-1
1A 4 Opportunistic 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 6 Miracle March 1.60 4.6 9-1
1 3 Hyndford 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Wild About You 5.00 5.9 11-1
8 9 Storminside 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 7 Laddie Boy 4.50 6.1 12-1
9 10 Park Ridge Benny 15.00 6.6 13-1
7 8 Lookie Loo 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aqwaam 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 One for Richie 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Wicked Indeed 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Railman 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Bullion 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Nola Win 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Box of Chocolates 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Majors Vindication 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Speaker Van 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Deflater 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jeri Bella 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Florida Bird 15.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Oochie 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Flatoutandfoxy 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Tiddly 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Flora Grove 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Willow Moon 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Savedbyanangel 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 All About Clara 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Joy in the Journey 15.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Bettyann 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Speedy Dansmere 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Roaring Rule 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Plumbago 3.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Bubbas Dixie 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Get the Bling 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Hamazingly Rich 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Chief of Staff 3.50 6.6 12-1
3 3 Flat Out Mine 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 2 Suspect a Storm 8.00 6.8 13-1
1A 10 October Sky 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 R H Smoakem 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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