Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 11, 2020

February 11, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bon Heir 3.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Initforthelonghaul 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 3 Cognac Cutie 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Midnight Sky 4.50 SCRATCH
4 2 Crystal Pier 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Miss Star Lo 8.00 SCRATCH
8A 5 La Candelita 20.00 4.9 9-1
7A 4 She’s Running Free 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Traffic Count 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Palace Candy 4.00 SCRATCH
3 2 War of the North 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 1 Grays the Bar 15.00 3.4 6-1
7 5 Hibachi 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Inspiring Justice 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Dougie 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Piggybank 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Misses Knight 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Cheri’s Win 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Chancee 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Lucky Stash 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Miss Lamborghini 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 I’m Thirsty 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Fiore 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 My Candy Forest 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Trappe Me Later 2.50 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Skookie 3.50 4.4 8-1
11 10 Valiant Spirit 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Frosty Friend 5.00 6.8 13-1
14 12 Dearest Ella 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Point Lockout 8.00 7.1 13-1
15 15 Bellamy Cat 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Little Neck 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 It’s a Shaw Thing 1.60 7.8 15-1
8 8 Woman Flyer 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Sunny My Way 20.00 8.2 16-1
12 11 Baaqeya 20.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Sugar Included 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gemodixie 20.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Dancingthehnydaway 20.00 9.9 19-1
10 9 Grandma Gertie 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Devil’s Revolution 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Three Potatoe Four 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Salty and Sweet 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Sweet Magic Moment 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Via Avanti 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Cinnamon Latte 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Allegretto 2.50 5 9-1
8 8 Almost Evil 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Patty’s Temple 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Double Doink 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Naturally Quick 5.00 2.5 5-1
6A 5 Play by Play 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Tonal Verse 1.20 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hebat 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Misquillo 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Cousin Basil 20.00 3.7 7-1
4A 4 Refinery 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Dubrovsky 4.50 3.4 7-1
1A 1 Legacy’s Prince 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mickey T 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Sacrificing It All 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Brazen Prince 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Daddy’s Placer 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Spider Jorgensen 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Mass Appeal 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Bannon 20.00 5.2 10-1
9A 9 Cloudy Saturday 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Smart Rags 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Brother Tez 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ride On Faith 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Smooth Don B 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 A J’s Way 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Keeping the Peace 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Vizcaino 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Krakov 3.50 4.8 9-1
3A 3 Staynsidethecircle 20.00 7.5 14-1
8A 8 Hesgotawaywithwrds 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tapete Claire 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mad Mary 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Rapidez 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Risque Express 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Trapps Star 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 True Upgrade 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Morissette 3.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Lights Down Low 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Bobby’s Song 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vencil 12.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Bel Gatto 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Due Gemelli 3.50 5 9-1
10 7 My Danzig Partner 4.50 5.6 11-1
8 5 Coast to Coast 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Elregal 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Geebert 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Snoopy’s Bid 20.00 SCRATCH
11 8 Mossbawn 20.00 7 13-1
13 13 Dodged a Bullet 0.80 SCRATCH
9 6 West Fork 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 El Fenomeno 15.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Hope Drive 20.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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