February 11, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bon Heir | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Initforthelonghaul | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Cognac Cutie | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Sky | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Crystal Pier | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Star Lo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 5 | La Candelita | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 4 | She’s Running Free | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Traffic Count | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Palace Candy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | War of the North | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grays the Bar | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hibachi | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Inspiring Justice | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dougie | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piggybank | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Misses Knight | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheri’s Win | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chancee | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Stash | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Lamborghini | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Thirsty | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fiore | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Candy Forest | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trappe Me Later | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skookie | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Valiant Spirit | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty Friend | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Dearest Ella | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point Lockout | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bellamy Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Little Neck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 1.60 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Woman Flyer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny My Way | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Baaqeya | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sugar Included | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gemodixie | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancingthehnydaway | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grandma Gertie | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Revolution | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Potatoe Four | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Salty and Sweet | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Magic Moment | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Via Avanti | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cinnamon Latte | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allegretto | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Almost Evil | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Patty’s Temple | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Double Doink | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naturally Quick | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Play by Play | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tonal Verse | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hebat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Misquillo | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cousin Basil | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Refinery | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Dubrovsky | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Legacy’s Prince | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mickey T | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sacrificing It All | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brazen Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Daddy’s Placer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Spider Jorgensen | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mass Appeal | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bannon | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Cloudy Saturday | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Smart Rags | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Tez | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ride On Faith | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Don B | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A J’s Way | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keeping the Peace | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vizcaino | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Krakov | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Staynsidethecircle | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Hesgotawaywithwrds | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tapete Claire | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Mary | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rapidez | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Risque Express | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trapps Star | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Upgrade | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morissette | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lights Down Low | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby’s Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vencil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Bel Gatto | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Due Gemelli | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | My Danzig Partner | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Coast to Coast | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elregal | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Geebert | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snoopy’s Bid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Mossbawn | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dodged a Bullet | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | West Fork | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Fenomeno | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Hope Drive | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.