February 9, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seaside Dancer | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fracas | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drift Away | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square Peggy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Love Romance | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swirling | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donut Girl | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Constitutionaffair | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Ability | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outright | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Curly | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arc Nation | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Watch the Dip | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big City Bane | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fravel | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ziyanair | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bud Knight | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea of Liberty | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bird | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Element | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Accountability | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Can Do This | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Original Intent | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Engram | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sapphire Kid | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Scatillac | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kookie Gal | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Oasis (GB) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitty Boom Boom | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kynance (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sybil’s Kitty | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zucchera | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harper’s Gallop | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buyback | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond of Value | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coldwater | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Vicente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nadal | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ra’ad | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ginobili | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm the Court | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party Town | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Enough | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Devil | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Undisturbed | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Timmy Ho (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Profiterole (FR) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nu Pi Lambda | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Lark (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Hop | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Hearted | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Egyptian Goddess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.