Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 9, 2020

February 9, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Go for Jim 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Reelfoot 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Run Away Bett 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Breakers Point 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Seek N Justice 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Stonegate 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Reverend Don 30.00 5 9-1
1 1 Copper Mountain 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Almyra 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Frigid 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Love to Learn 3.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Fairly Honest 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Miz Nightcap 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 All Fact 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Settle It 2.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Keene’s Desire 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Western Attire 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Big Base 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 She Might Tell 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Mo’s M V P 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sun Dress 8.00 4.4 8-1
4A 4 Check Six 2.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Mimi’s Money 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Boathouse View 15.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Eva’s Candy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Biggs 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Into Orbit 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Explosive Humour 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Jimmie T 3.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Undefeated Champ 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Traffic Control 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Captain Don 3.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 A P Dancer 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Moon in the Sky 30.00 8 15-1
6 6 Mr. Cougar 30.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Frequent Traveler 12.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Sunday Sermon 10.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Young Bull 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Broken Together 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Bajan Cash 3.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Southsider 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 6 Academy Bay 6.00 6.7 13-1
11 8 Sladens Dream 3.00 6.7 13-1
6 4 Evader 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Big Sport 8.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Ravens Reflection 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 5 El Venue 10.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Internet Success 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Get the Bling 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pocket Personality 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Flat Out Mine 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Strong Flag 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Visual Magic 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Tipazar 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Proudly Pacific 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Pretti Xtreme 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Santa Ana Winds 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Kiss More 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hidden Ruler 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Make Noise 20.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Next Gen 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Golden Tiger 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Courting a Kiss 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Strike That 3.00 4.6 9-1
6A 6 Vice Versa 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bump Bailey 8.00 4.9 9-1
5A 5 Senor Jobim 3.50 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Laughing Fox 4.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Night Ops 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Sky Promise 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Shivermetimbers 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Lenstar 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Lombo 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 C Z Rocket 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Thirstforlife 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Chris and Dave 12.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Plainsman 4.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Catdaddy 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jewel Thief 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Girl From Berlin 30.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Mandy 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Misty Blue 15.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Breeze Rider 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Symphony Hall 3.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Magine 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 Fiesta in Vegas 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Dogwood Queen 20.00 5.2 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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