Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 9, 2020

February 9, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Double Priority 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 One Tough Charlie 4.00 3.4 6-1
1A 5 Eepoppork Time 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 First Metal Count 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 3 Incased in Time 6.00 4 8-1
7 8 Harper’s Deelite 1.60 4.5 9-1
6 7 Southern Light 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Boston Lover 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sensible Myth 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Marquee Moment 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Princess Trina 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 For Reef’s Sake 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Kraft’s Rate 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Baylor 20.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Banshee Birdie 3.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Katzarelli 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Semi Charmed Day 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Buy It 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Daggers Arch 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Traelee 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Red Hot Devil 4.50 4 8-1
7 7 Archrival 3.50 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Silent Trick 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Endless Romance 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Cirrusly 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Celestial Dream 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 1 Every Single Day 3.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Priceless Nellie 2.50 5.7 11-1
1 4 Korat Queen 8.00 6 11-1
1A 9 Seven Jewels 8.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Oxbowindy 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 10 Actress On Board 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Guitar Slim 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 City Park 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Flat Out Cat 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Thunk 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Britts a Closer 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Drilling Report 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Lilrascalman 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Arctic Rose 4.50 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cairo King 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 7 Majestic John’s 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Automate 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Dynaform 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Healing 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Free Indeed 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Oh My Aching Arch 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Great Ulysses 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Baozun 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gemo Rain 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Two Emmys 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 So Alive 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 By My Standards 1.40 2.6 5-1
6 5 Broth 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 One Mean Man 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Zanesville 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 One Step 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Well Respected 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Dawn’s Dancer 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Queen of the Lane 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Global Brand 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Rain Dance 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Mom’s Pass 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tale of Mona 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Misty Day 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Belmar Beauty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Half Again 3.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Carlos Punch 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Alan’s Argument 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Jade’s Autumn Sky 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Barrow Road 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 5 Mr. Production 4.50 5.2 10-1
8 6 Two Utes 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Big Pen Ten 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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