February 9, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Double Priority | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | One Tough Charlie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Eepoppork Time | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Metal Count | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Incased in Time | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Harper’s Deelite | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Southern Light | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Boston Lover | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sensible Myth | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marquee Moment | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Trina | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For Reef’s Sake | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kraft’s Rate | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baylor | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banshee Birdie | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Katzarelli | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Semi Charmed Day | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buy It | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daggers Arch | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Traelee | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Devil | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Archrival | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Silent Trick | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Endless Romance | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cirrusly | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Celestial Dream | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Every Single Day | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Priceless Nellie | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Korat Queen | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Seven Jewels | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oxbowindy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Actress On Board | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Guitar Slim | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City Park | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Cat | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thunk | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Britts a Closer | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drilling Report | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lilrascalman | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arctic Rose | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cairo King | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Majestic John’s | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Automate | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dynaform | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Healing | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Indeed | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh My Aching Arch | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Ulysses | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Baozun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gemo Rain | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Emmys | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Alive | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | By My Standards | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Broth | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Mean Man | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zanesville | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | One Step | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Well Respected | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dawn’s Dancer | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of the Lane | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Global Brand | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rain Dance | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mom’s Pass | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Mona | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Belmar Beauty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Half Again | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Carlos Punch | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alan’s Argument | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jade’s Autumn Sky | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barrow Road | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mr. Production | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Two Utes | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Pen Ten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.