Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 8, 2020

February 8, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Seizetheday Rexy 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Street Behavior 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tiger the Man 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Saturday Johnny 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Nonno’s Polaris 3.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Totally Tiger 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sierra Melody 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Fabio 30.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Colombian Gold 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Diametric 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kustom for Karl 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Rakassah (IRE) 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 She’s the Boss 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Dipping In 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Naughty Evelyn 30.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Del Mar Drama 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Todos Santos 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Coalinga Hills 1.80 3.1 6-1
6 6 Fairly Lucky 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Bragging Rights 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 At the Margin 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Edna 2.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 George Herman Ruth 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Rocks and Salt 2.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Squared Straight 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Descartes 3.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 El Diablo Rojo 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Malakai Moxie 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Tropical Terror 2.50 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Las Virgenes S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Venetian Harbor 0.40 2.3 4-1
5 5 Stellar Sound 5.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Go Big Blue Nation 10.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Cholula Lips 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Gingham 6.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bluegrass Sky 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sabinos Pride 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 French Rose 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Billy K 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Trouville 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Kristi’s Tiger 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kleen Karma 10.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Thunder Road S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Hunted 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Kingly 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Camino Del Paraiso 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Take the One O One 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Ronald R (IRE) 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Majestic Eagle 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Frontier Market 4.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 True Valour (IRE) 3.50 6.3 12-1
6 5 River Boyne (IRE) 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Mugaritz 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Manhattan Up 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Route Six Six 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Adens Dream 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Speed Pass 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Oliver 3.50 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trojan Magic 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Rightful 30.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Fivestar Lynch (IRE) 1.80 5.1 10-1
4 4 Irish Spirit 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Shared 50.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Friendly Outthedor 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Muskoka 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Fengari 2.50 6 11-1
3 3 Camps Bay 6.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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