February 8, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chillinwithfriends | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sister Alexa | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Sunday | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Solitary Gem | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ok Honey | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookbothways | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Ticket | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Movie Score | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tonal Vision | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Common Courtesy | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Master of Hope | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Wow | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arima | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halo City | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Getoffmyback | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | O Shea Can U See | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Sea | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leap to Glory | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Asset | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Affair | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liam Lets Go | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sobersick N Sorry | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cause for Applause | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No More Miracles | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Preternatural | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bassman Dave | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alrahaal | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Talent Scout | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our American Star | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Violence | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Striking Speed | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judicial Restraint | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warfront Fighter | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Betts | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fiat Lux | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Continuation | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Breithorn | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Informative | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sixteen Tons | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Thesis | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | H Man | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summer Bourbon | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | San Juan Diego | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Psychic Energy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blue Belt | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mo Diddley | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Stone Breaker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Surprise | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Clench | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inscom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sicilia Mike | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blindwillie McTell | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Dark Money | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ready to Escape | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Breez | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jimmy Winkfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Montauk Traffic | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quixotic | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polar Bear Pete | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newstome | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Rules | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Ritt | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Chestnut | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Five Eighteen | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bronze Lion | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lastlookatthecat | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Lightning | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valid Quest | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Troubadour | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carnegie Song | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chiricahua | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concrete Jungle | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beta | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.