Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 8, 2020

February 8, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chillinwithfriends 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Sister Alexa 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Tequila Sunday 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Solitary Gem 1.60 3.8 7-1
8 7 Ok Honey 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lookbothways 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Our Ticket 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Movie Score 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tonal Vision 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Common Courtesy 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Master of Hope 8.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Pure Wow 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Arima 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Halo City 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Cherokee Song 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Getoffmyback 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 O Shea Can U See 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Deep Sea 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Leap to Glory 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Royal Asset 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Majestic Affair 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Liam Lets Go 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sobersick N Sorry 1.60 2.7 5-1
3 3 Cause for Applause 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 No More Miracles 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Preternatural 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Bassman Dave 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Alrahaal 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Talent Scout 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Our American Star 30.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Running Violence 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Striking Speed 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Judicial Restraint 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Warfront Fighter 20.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Betts 30.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Fiat Lux 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Continuation 1.00 3 6-1
8 8 Breithorn 5.00 5 9-1
3 3 Informative 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sixteen Tons 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Thesis 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 H Man 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Summer Bourbon 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 San Juan Diego 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Psychic Energy 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Blue Belt 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 7 Mo Diddley 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 5 Stone Breaker 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Sudden Surprise 4.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Clench 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Inscom 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sicilia Mike 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Blindwillie McTell 2.00 2.8 5-1
7A 6 Dark Money 1.60 2.8 5-1
6 5 Ready to Escape 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Morning Breez 6.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jimmy Winkfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Montauk Traffic 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Quixotic 2.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Polar Bear Pete 30.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Newstome 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Secret Rules 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Johnny Ritt 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Old Chestnut 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Five Eighteen 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Bronze Lion 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Lastlookatthecat 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Mo Lightning 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Valid Quest 1.40 3.6 7-1
10 10 Our Troubadour 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Carnegie Song 10.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Chiricahua 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Concrete Jungle 30.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Beta 6.00 6.1 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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