Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 7, 2020

February 7, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Powered by Greeley 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Hot and Ready 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Tiz Darby 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Our Foolish Girl 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tensas Weezy 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Emery’s Dream 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sarah Ann’s Pointe 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sandy’s Wager 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Ballybrack Lass 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Mi Chachis Intenta 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Saint Kennedy 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 8 Bonnet 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Chesapeake Bay 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 Bet Your Bankroll 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 On Deck 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 My Little Fire 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Destiny’s Darling 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Boston Bind 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Highly Centsable 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Alma Derby 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Grand Little Man 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Halostar 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Flashyboy Bobb 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Like Mike 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Heart of Soul 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 7 Star Gaze 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Mill Falls 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 My Pepper Ann 4.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 For Real Alice 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Toodaloo to You 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Gabby’s Half 4.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Spartanburg 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Tough Kicks 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Lost Prado 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Forgotten 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lizzario 1.80 3.3 6-1
3 3 My Scarlet Beauty 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Veilazig 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Twins Plus a Dot 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Starlight Sister 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Run Ballerina 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 La Negra Noche 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Upgrade Me 4.50 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Theoryintopractice 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Make Me Smile 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Jus Lively 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Treys Midnite Moon 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 In the Navy 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Remembermis 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Budro Talking 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Have No Fear 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 New Year’s Party 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Galaxy Thirtysix 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sucre 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 New Orleans Spice 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Diamond Crazy 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Yes Gorgeous 4.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Lexi Em 12.00 3 6-1
11 5 Passport Required 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 3 Gio’s Lil Angel 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 1 Temple of Roses 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 2 Blazing Hero 15.00 8.1 15-1
1A 12 Top Ten Duchess 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Strict Vow 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Trust in Love 3.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Tupelo Hon E 4.00 SCRATCH
7 6 My Little Rosy 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Angel of Verdun 8.00 SCRATCH
9 8 She’s Our Star 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shaq Jack 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Linea Amarilla 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mira 30.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Classical Dubai 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Time to Rome 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Fire Giant 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Our Bermuda 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Our Prince 5.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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