Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 6, 2020

February 6, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Little Slew 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Clay’s Moon Stone 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 7 Spectacular Temper 3.50 4.3 8-1
1A 10 Viva La Secreta 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Hermana Red 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Silent Night Sky 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Elevententeetime 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Suits Me 6.00 6.1 11-1
3 2 Quiet Dawn 3.50 6.3 12-1
7 6 Kimberly Frances 3.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Picture Painted 30.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Sergeant McNerney 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Bookie’s Blues 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Violent Storm 2.50 6 11-1
6 6 War Veteran 5.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Wrath 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 New Year’s Luck 6.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Hard to Impress 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Anothrdayatthelake 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Jersey Lute 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Divine Dharma 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Conqueror 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Rockshaw 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Fascilitator 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Tres Equis 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Qualifly 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Sharp Art 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Rockys Warrior 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Recount 3.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thornish 5.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Rockthepulpit 6.00 4 7-1
10 10 Explosive Shoes 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bravura Creek 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 The Dark Jewel 20.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Rock Solid Truth 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Gotta Love Ike 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Daddy Jack 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Call Me Derby 4.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Slightly Crafty 12.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Blacks Ferry Road 30.00 9 17-1
6 6 Gone Dancing 6.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Shameful Preacher 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 The Devil’s Daddy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Riker 3.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Touch ‘Em Up 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Satellite 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Roar of the Lion 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Mucho Macho Dan 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Tonbo 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sumner 4.50 6.1 12-1
9 9 Gospel Abe 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 The Rouge Diesel 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Monday Confession 15.00 8.8 17-1
1A 4 Burciaga 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Lookin for Eight 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Arrival 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 7 Matrooh 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Conquest Big E 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Kristi’s Copilot 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 On Patrol 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Albireo 30.00 5.8 11-1
12 10 Hardly a Secret 4.50 6.5 12-1
10 8 Always a Catch 20.00 7 13-1
11 9 Hinton 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Dukes Up 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gray Sky 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Souixper Charger 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Piece of Work 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Irish Oak 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 It’s Bellamy Time 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Whenthedovescry 3.50 8.4 16-1
10 10 Reef’s Destiny 8.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Calle Patron 8.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Destinedtobeastar 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Silver City Blues 10.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Heisfancy 15.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Bebop Shoes 5.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Wasabi Moon 30.00 10.6 20-1
13 13 Bogey 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dothebestyoucan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wholehearted 4.00 4 7-1
7 7 Westlodge Intrigue 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Portal Creek 8.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Urban Kat 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Caliente Candy 3.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Drip Brew 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Sunset Paula Jo 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 War Ballad 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Sophie’s Angel 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Ready to Runaway 4.50 7 13-1
4 4 Pretty Greeley 4.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Tiger Bait 12.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Santos Dumont 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 3 Hidden Talent 5.00 5 9-1
7 5 Liam’s Pride 8.00 6 11-1
11 9 Bobby Axelrod 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Edgemont Road 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Pine Knoll 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 1 Stretford End 3.50 7.2 14-1
10 8 Baringer Spring 15.00 7.2 14-1
14 10 Copper King 4.00 7.7 15-1
6 4 On d’Oro 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Road Game 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 The Longest Night 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Executive Branch 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Aztec Empire 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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