February 6, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Little Slew | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Clay’s Moon Stone | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Spectacular Temper | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Viva La Secreta | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hermana Red | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Night Sky | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Elevententeetime | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Suits Me | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Quiet Dawn | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Kimberly Frances | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Picture Painted | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sergeant McNerney | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bookie’s Blues | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Storm | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Veteran | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wrath | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Year’s Luck | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard to Impress | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anothrdayatthelake | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jersey Lute | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Divine Dharma | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conqueror | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockshaw | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fascilitator | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tres Equis | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Qualifly | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Art | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockys Warrior | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Recount | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thornish | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rockthepulpit | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Explosive Shoes | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bravura Creek | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Dark Jewel | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rock Solid Truth | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Love Ike | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy Jack | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Derby | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slightly Crafty | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blacks Ferry Road | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gone Dancing | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shameful Preacher | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Devil’s Daddy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Riker | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Touch ‘Em Up | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Satellite | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roar of the Lion | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Macho Dan | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tonbo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sumner | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Abe | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Rouge Diesel | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monday Confession | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Burciaga | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lookin for Eight | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Arrival | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Matrooh | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Conquest Big E | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kristi’s Copilot | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | On Patrol | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Albireo | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Hardly a Secret | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Always a Catch | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hinton | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dukes Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gray Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Souixper Charger | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Piece of Work | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Oak | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Bellamy Time | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whenthedovescry | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reef’s Destiny | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Calle Patron | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Destinedtobeastar | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silver City Blues | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heisfancy | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bebop Shoes | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wasabi Moon | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bogey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dothebestyoucan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wholehearted | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Westlodge Intrigue | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Portal Creek | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Urban Kat | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caliente Candy | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drip Brew | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Paula Jo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Ballad | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sophie’s Angel | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ready to Runaway | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Greeley | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tiger Bait | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Santos Dumont | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hidden Talent | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Liam’s Pride | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bobby Axelrod | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Edgemont Road | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pine Knoll | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stretford End | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Baringer Spring | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Copper King | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | On d’Oro | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Road Game | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Longest Night | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Executive Branch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aztec Empire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.