Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 6, 2020

February 6, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clever Music 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Better Angels 2.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Miss Lucky Ducky 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Will B Late 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Mak’s Alarm 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Miss Dawn 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Mystic Gem 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Fresh Snuff 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Double Red 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Cherokee Bless 2.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Total Lilly 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bossy’s Trouble 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Reversaloffortune 3.00 4 8-1
2 1 In Charge Halo 4.00 4.8 9-1
11 9 Most Mischief 5.00 5 10-1
9 7 Zens Secret 5.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 King Formeredith 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Kye’s Addycat 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 5 Flashy Image 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Flash’s Adventure 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 4 Navy Typist 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 The Remainder 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Blushing Dreamer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ray’s Kimua 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Hezanothercorredor 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Ramosoneclevercon 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Grand Tribute 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Yohearme 3.50 6.5 12-1
2 2 Lucky Streaker 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Zarb’s Last Angel 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Brush Whacker 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Ambassador House 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Mr. E Edwards 2.50 8 15-1
11 11 Scrimmage 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Our Prince 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kapenta 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hewhofillsmyheart 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Sweeping Edge 3.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Hardly Seen Slim 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 He’s a Lady Tamer 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Nastida Mast 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Outofthisgalaxy 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Jubal 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Baires Boy 2.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Buck Dynasty 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 She Wants Half 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Taylor’s Lightning 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Speed On Tap 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Stop the Friend 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lucky Priority 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gray Haze 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Noon’s Babygirl 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Guilty Confession 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Picacho Peak 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Saponi 10.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Smiling Song 1.80 3.6 7-1
6 6 Butter Hut 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 A Flash of Copper 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 D’yeti Man 6.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Holdonaminit 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Temple Shadow 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Glorieta 3.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Miss Billie K 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Proudmoney 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Jewels of Sorce 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Pitcher 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Swiftown Miss 2.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Crowned Style 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Song and a Saint 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Go Get That 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Doorag Jimmy 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Jack’s Kiss 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Atomic Candy 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 C H My Last Dollar 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Interactif Moment 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Fats 2.50 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady Miah 1.60 3.4 6-1
9 9 Lucky Dare 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Debs Girl 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Princess Orthodox 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Selenas Jewel 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Something for Mama 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Fickle Flash 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Tenacious Faith 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Carletta 4.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Peacefully 1.80 7.6 14-1
2 2 Tribute’s Pride 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Baby 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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