February 6, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amos | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Zappem | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flattering Eyes | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alphadora | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keepmyeyeontheboys | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Slippers | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucy’s Town | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excess Capacity | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jump for Joy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Flash | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whyisshesoolucky | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Archumybaby | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Darling Dario | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bongga | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Five Card Draw | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Surprise Visit | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Guitar | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Victory Boulevard | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Inside Risk | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 2 | Direct Order | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Supreme Aura | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Krewe Chief | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Night | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holiday Bonus | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Reed Kan | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Other Things Equal | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proven Reserves | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zealous | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Walkoff | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starting Point | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Promo Code | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Family Biz | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | American Rule | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wild Boar | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impunity | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mandatory Payout | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Our Stormin Norman | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vineyard Sound | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waynes Footsteps | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Takeoff | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Saw It All | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Sea Foam | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Prioritize | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome D J | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legit | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Seethisquick | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hope I Can | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Becky’s Mission | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empress Luciana | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Belle | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Fabulous | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Empress | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Shantay You Stay | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Tokyo Bay | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Kheisha | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shes Euphoric | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.