Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 6, 2020

February 6, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Amos 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Go Zappem 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Flattering Eyes 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Alphadora 1.20 3.4 6-1
2 2 Keepmyeyeontheboys 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dancing Slippers 10.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucy’s Town 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Excess Capacity 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Jump for Joy 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mo Flash 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Whyisshesoolucky 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Archumybaby 2.50 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Darling Dario 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bongga 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Five Card Draw 6.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Surprise Visit 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Stone Guitar 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Victory Boulevard 1.80 3.9 7-1
6 4 Inside Risk 2.00 4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 2 Direct Order 1.80 1.1 2-1
4 3 Supreme Aura 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 4 Krewe Chief 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 California Night 3.00 3 6-1
6 5 Holiday Bonus 10.00 4.6 9-1
2A 2 Reed Kan 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Other Things Equal 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Proven Reserves 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Zealous 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Walkoff 4.00 3 6-1
7 6 Starting Point 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Promo Code 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Family Biz 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 American Rule 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wild Boar 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Impunity 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mandatory Payout 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Dr. Devera’s Way 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Our Stormin Norman 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Vineyard Sound 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Waynes Footsteps 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Takeoff 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 I Saw It All 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Sea Foam 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 4 Prioritize 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Awesome D J 30.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Grumps Little Tots 1.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Legit 1.40 SCRATCH
4 2 Seethisquick 15.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hope I Can 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Becky’s Mission 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Empress Luciana 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Holiday Belle 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Pretty Fabulous 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Rebel Empress 15.00 4.4 8-1
10A 9 Shantay You Stay 3.50 4.6 9-1
5A 5 Tokyo Bay 3.50 5.5 10-1
9 9 Wicked Kheisha 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Shes Euphoric 20.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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