February 5, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Be Gone | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oretta | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Artie | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sincerity | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Void | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Beauty | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Yalisha | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | B’s Ten | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Dance Star | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marywood | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dueforadate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Savvy Shipman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Scootin Bayou | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Royal Alexandra | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fairwell Tax Break | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Diamond Crazy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Djinn of Djibouti | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tommytoshort | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B Rasen | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trivista | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meaningful | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastside Boy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Holly Go Lightly | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Diamondcoat | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Quick Quick Quick | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Miss Imperial | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | She’s All Skeet | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Novo Azul | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Even Beat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dance Rhythms | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Toe | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Round Hill | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singing Aces | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reigning Warrior | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Marais | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ike Walker | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Orange | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cee R Bee | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Flor | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swifty Cat | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Embarrassing | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Strollin the Bayou | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Unfading Beauty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | North of Eden | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Havinfunyet | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Malibu Moira | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miko | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trivial | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | N. D. Free | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bibleman | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Friday’s Best | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soul Song | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Minit I See U | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reach the Circle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palvera | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Verdict | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Rock Ridge | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinzea Stone | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | A. K. Safari | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Man of Honor | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Ballyhack | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Coach Bahe | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin High | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On the Muscle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Reach the Moon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Laneburg | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Breezy Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Stormie Court | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Power Serve | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dream On Mister | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bigboyshowshart | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King’s Prayer | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nocomet | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swinging Galaxy | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Galaxy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Sovol | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tiz Neyney and Rad | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seeley | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.