Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 5, 2020

February 5, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady Be Gone 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Oretta 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Lucky Artie 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sincerity 1.20 3.5 7-1
3 3 Stellar Void 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Strong Beauty 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Crimson Feline 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 4 Yalisha 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 3 B’s Ten 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Tap Dance Star 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Marywood 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Dueforadate 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Savvy Shipman 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Scootin Bayou 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Royal Alexandra 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fairwell Tax Break 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Diamond Crazy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hitthegroundrunnin 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Djinn of Djibouti 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Tommytoshort 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 B Rasen 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Trivista 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Meaningful 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Eastside Boy 4.50 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Holly Go Lightly 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 5 Diamondcoat 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 3 Quick Quick Quick 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 4 Miss Imperial 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 2 She’s All Skeet 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Novo Azul 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Even Beat 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Dance Rhythms 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Holiday Time 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Little Toe 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Round Hill 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Singing Aces 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Reigning Warrior 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Grand Marais 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Ike Walker 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Orange 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Cee R Bee 4.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Flor 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Swifty Cat 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Embarrassing 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 6 Strollin the Bayou 4.50 4.7 9-1
9 8 Unfading Beauty 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 North of Eden 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Havinfunyet 8.00 6 11-1
10 9 Malibu Moira 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Miko 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Trivial 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 N. D. Free 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bibleman 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Friday’s Best 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Soul Song 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 The Minit I See U 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Reach the Circle 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Palvera 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Fast Verdict 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Rock Ridge 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Kinzea Stone 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 5 A. K. Safari 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Man of Honor 4.50 5.7 11-1
10 6 Ballyhack 6.00 6.3 12-1
11 7 Coach Bahe 8.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Lookin High 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 On the Muscle 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Reach the Moon 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Laneburg 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Breezy Money 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Stormie Court 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 2 Power Serve 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Dream On Mister 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Bigboyshowshart 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 King’s Prayer 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Nocomet 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Swinging Galaxy 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Royal Galaxy 5.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Sovol 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Tiz Neyney and Rad 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Seeley 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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