Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 4, 2020

February 4, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Too Much Johnnie 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Lucky Hero 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Proud and Furious 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Mr Classical 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Kelli’s Smile 1.60 3.2 6-1
3 3 Little Siete 3.50 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 All Right Girl 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Red Hed Speights 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Tarallucci 1.20 4.1 8-1
8 8 Geewhatsinurwallet 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Flying Pleasantly 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Symphony of Love 1.60 5.3 10-1
7 7 Driver’s License 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Wrote to a Diva 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bayleaf 6.00 2.4 5-1
7A 7 Yours Completely 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Goddess of Cash 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Tiz a Sharpie 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Karabessa 5.00 3.1 6-1
2A 2 Sweet Addison 1.80 3.8 7-1
3 3 Pascha Pascha 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Risque’s Treasure 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 R Awesum Betty 2.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Florencia 3.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Page Eleven 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Don’ttouchmystuff 4.50 5.4 10-1
4 3 Gold Rush Kizzie 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Start Notizing 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Patty’s Temple 20.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Simply Smashing 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Move It Missy 20.00 6 11-1
5 4 La Bella Chica 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pratt 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Fortheluvofbourbon 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Atlantic Chill 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Uncle Manny 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Stay Hydrated 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Naughty Fox 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Brilliant Chase 1.80 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dougie 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Al Dila 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Resonate 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Vested Venture 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Creative Princess 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Yes Mz Adah 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Iwishirish 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Galileo’s Affair 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tale of E Dubai 4.50 2.1 4-1
4A 3 Espresso Caliente 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Regalian 1.60 4 8-1
2 2 Slot 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Chelios 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Saratoga Wildcat 15.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Hammers Vision 10.00 4.7 9-1
5A 4 Runs for Luck 2.50 4.9 9-1
10 9 Candid Desire 3.50 5.1 10-1
8 7 Phish Fan 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Berberslilbriebrie 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hay Buck 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Anissa 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 E T’s Gypsy Woman 3.50 3 6-1
6 5 Sweet Turn 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Dixie Serenade 0.40 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Honorable Service 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Private Party 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Emperor John 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 The Great Samurai 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Forman the Foreman 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Blinding 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Visionary Ruler 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Street Tail 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Inky Dinky Do 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jacks a Warrior 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Huascaran 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Refunded 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 7 Ironbound 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Cape May Ferry 6.00 6 11-1
12 11 Lunar Rover 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Stormy Highway 4.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Smart and Tough 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Clever Caliban 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Polished Steel 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Danny O 1.80 SCRATCH
11 10 Truly a Moon Shot 20.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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