Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 2, 2020

February 2, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fulfill 6.00 1000 1890-1
2 2 Thin Spaces 8.00 1000 1890-1
3 3 First Degree 1.20 1000 1890-1
4 4 David’s Gem 4.00 1000 1890-1
5 5 Cause I Said So 1.80 1000 1890-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eighty Seven North 2.50 1000 1890-1
2 2 La Rubia 10.00 1000 1890-1
3 3 Lady Cat 3.00 1000 1890-1
4 4 Sander’s Empire 6.00 1000 1890-1
5 5 Emerald Ice 20.00 1000 1890-1
6 6 Two Graces 1.20 1000 1890-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King of American 15.00 1000 1890-1
2 2 My Sacred Place 6.00 1000 1890-1
3 3 Glenn Likes Gin 8.00 1000 1890-1
4 4 Forever Wicked 3.00 1000 1890-1
5 5 Fort McHenry 0.50 1000 1890-1
6 6 Tiger Road 20.00 1000 1890-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Minit Maus 20.00 1000 1890-1
2 2 Our Ticket 12.00 1000 1890-1
3 3 Cairo Queen 4.00 1000 1890-1
4 4 Moon Heist 3.00 1000 1890-1
5 5 Teletype 1.60 1000 1890-1
6 6 Abraxan 4.50 1000 1890-1
7 7 Kathy’s Cause 6.00 1000 1890-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chief Know It All 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Monteleone 5.00 1000 1890-1
3 2 Autostrade 4.00 1000 1890-1
4 3 Orpheus (ARG) 3.00 1000 1890-1
5 4 Shadow Rider 3.00 1000 1890-1
6 5 Hardcore Folklore 10.00 1000 1890-1
7 6 Guns of Steel 20.00 1000 1890-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prairie Fire 6.00 1000 1890-1
2 2 Flat Calm 30.00 1000 1890-1
3 3 Puffery 2.50 1000 1890-1
4 4 Archumybaby 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Play Me a Memory 10.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Sweet Meadow Mist 15.00 1000 1890-1
7 5 Hay Field 0.80 1000 1890-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Busanda S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Water White 2.50 1000 1890-1
2 2 Ankle Monitor 12.00 1000 1890-1
3 3 Quality Heat 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Persisto 4.00 1000 1890-1
5 4 Truth Hurts 8.00 1000 1890-1
6 5 Harvey’s Lil Goil 2.00 1000 1890-1
7 6 Fiftyshays Ofgreen 4.00 1000 1890-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Narcissistic 50.00 1000 1890-1
2 2 Kingfish 6.00 1000 1890-1
3 3 Freudian Fate 2.00 1000 1890-1
4 4 Kid d’Oro 8.00 1000 1890-1
5 5 Step to the Bank 12.00 1000 1890-1
6 6 Quickflash 0.80 1000 1890-1
7 7 Apex Predator 20.00 1000 1890-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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