February 2, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fulfill | 6.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thin Spaces | 8.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Degree | 1.20 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 4 | 4 | David’s Gem | 4.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cause I Said So | 1.80 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eighty Seven North | 2.50 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Rubia | 10.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Cat | 3.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sander’s Empire | 6.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Ice | 20.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Graces | 1.20 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King of American | 15.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sacred Place | 6.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glenn Likes Gin | 8.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Wicked | 3.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort McHenry | 0.50 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Road | 20.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Ticket | 12.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Queen | 4.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Heist | 3.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Teletype | 1.60 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abraxan | 4.50 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kathy’s Cause | 6.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chief Know It All | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Monteleone | 5.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Autostrade | 4.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orpheus (ARG) | 3.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shadow Rider | 3.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hardcore Folklore | 10.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Guns of Steel | 20.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Fire | 6.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Calm | 30.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puffery | 2.50 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Archumybaby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Play Me a Memory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Sweet Meadow Mist | 15.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hay Field | 0.80 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Busanda S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Water White | 2.50 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ankle Monitor | 12.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Heat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Persisto | 4.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Truth Hurts | 8.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Harvey’s Lil Goil | 2.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fiftyshays Ofgreen | 4.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Narcissistic | 50.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingfish | 6.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Fate | 2.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kid d’Oro | 8.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Step to the Bank | 12.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quickflash | 0.80 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apex Predator | 20.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.