Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 1, 2020

February 1, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Garota 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Shanghaisweetheart 3.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Pass It On 4.50 7 13-1
1 1 Kaufy Futures 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Madelyn’s Dancer 4.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 It’s a Lovely Day 2.50 7.6 14-1
3 3 Mia Angelina 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Dillon’s Kitty 30.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Dude’s Secret 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Conformity 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ellis Island 2.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Edge of Fire 4.50 3 6-1
3 2 Ajhar 2.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Speedy Mack 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Living Vicariously 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Dream d’Oro 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Tapi Frost 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Afrolina 50.00 4.9 9-1
4 2 Just a Bit Sassy 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 7 Glorious Gal 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 6 Interest 10.00 7.6 14-1
5 3 Elusive Molly 3.50 7.6 14-1
7 5 Reggae Revolution 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 R Sea Smoke 20.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Yolanda’s Pride 4.50 8.2 15-1
1 1 Rising Bella 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Little Bit Good 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fearless 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Winking At Thedude 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Gump 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Blueridge Mountain 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Kid Bourbon 1.80 5.2 10-1
4 4 Gray Beau 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Manicomio 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Donji 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Scars Are Cool 8.00 SCRATCH
14 5 Ekhtibaar 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Heza Kitten 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Projected (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Unleveraged 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Go Poke the Bear 10.00 SCRATCH
8 3 Armistice Day 15.00 6 11-1
6 2 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Noble Indy 4.50 SCRATCH
12 4 Basha 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Dragon Bay 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Epic Bromance 15.00 SCRATCH
4 1 Identifier 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Timmy M. 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Forward Gal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Compensate 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Nikki and Papa 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tonalist’s Shape 0.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Street of Dreams 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 New Day Dawning 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fujairah 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bear Alley 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Mauro’s Team 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Palm Springs 0.80 4.2 8-1
5 5 Mister Candy Ride 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 King Khozan 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Alfatei 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Awakened 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Sir Kahn 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Rogue Element 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sweetest Chant S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Moana’s Tale 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Sunset Promise 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Filly Jean King 10.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Micheline 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Reluctant Bride 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Ivyetsu 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Moral Reasoning 1.80 6 11-1
3 2 She’s My Type (FR) 2.50 6.1 12-1
4 3 Cheermeister 10.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Swale S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Untitled 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Mischevious Alex 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Flash Pass 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Necker Island 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Shivaree 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Green Light Go 2.00 5 9-1
7 7 Inter Miami 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Point Winner 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Dania Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Myamanoi 3.50 2.5 5-1
12 12 Disc Jockey 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Smash 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Peruvian Boy 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Field Pass 4.50 4.7 9-1
9 8 Famished 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Dominate Themoment 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mr. Kringle 10.00 5.6 11-1
11 10 Sprawl 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 South Bend 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Homeland 3.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Get Smokin 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Holy Bull S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Relentless Dancer 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Toledo 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Uncork the Bottle 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mayberry Deputy 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tiz the Law 0.60 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ete Indien 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Clear Destination 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fantasizing 12.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Robintakincharge 4.50 5 10-1
13 13 Pawnbroker 4.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Kingsville 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Mr Stark 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gunslinger (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lookin Savvy 20.00 SCRATCH
11 7 America’s Simmard 15.00 6.6 12-1
12 8 Gins and Tins 4.00 6.7 13-1
16 9 State of War 20.00 6.9 13-1
14 14 King Leonardo 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Doctor D J 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 6 Appealing Briefs 8.00 7.8 15-1
4 3 Doctor Dub 3.50 7.8 15-1
15 15 Krachenwagen 12.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Bluesky Kitten 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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