February 1, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Getonmy Good Side | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Won | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make Or Break | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indawin | 0.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tourbillon Rose | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Future Book | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cryptographer | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rejected Again | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blues City | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Road | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Money Ride | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yes for Less | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tony Small | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dodged a Bullet | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Justice of War | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Justinspeightofit | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wisecrack | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | State of Mine | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Mickey | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Fenomeno | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Somebody | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerome Avenue | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Sargeant Drive | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Hizaam | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Style | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Jo | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dooley | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Later Cat | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Eloquent Speaker | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Losses | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pot of Hunny | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quality Stones | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Graetz | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Homerun Honey | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Steps | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Steal My Heart | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trouble for Skylar | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quietude | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Cod Diva | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collegeville Girl | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wailin Josie | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awillaway | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ella’s Song | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mental Model | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Escape | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Digital Footprint | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Danny California | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Traveling | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spectator Sport | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Prince | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Choice | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Withers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Portos | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shotski | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vanzzy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Max Player | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Commission | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Pharoahs | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monday Morning Qb | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rally Cap | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Javelin | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toohottoevenspeak | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nuclear Code | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Le Gros Bill | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O Shea Can U See | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Readyheartandsoul | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fun Prospect | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9A | 9 | You Tell Me | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.