Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 1, 2020

February 1, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Getonmy Good Side 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Superbloodwolfmoon 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hard Won 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Make Or Break 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Indawin 0.80 5 9-1
5 5 Tourbillon Rose 50.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Future Book 1.40 3.2 6-1
4 3 Cryptographer 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 2 Rejected Again 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Blues City 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tiger Road 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Money Ride 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Yes for Less 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tony Small 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Dodged a Bullet 1.60 3.9 7-1
7 6 Justice of War 1.40 4.1 8-1
2 2 Justinspeightofit 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Wisecrack 50.00 5 9-1
3 3 State of Mine 6.00 5 10-1
4 4 Afleet Mickey 50.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 El Fenomeno 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Somebody 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Jerome Avenue 2.00 3.6 7-1
1A 1 Sargeant Drive 1.40 3.8 7-1
4A 4 Hizaam 1.40 4 8-1
7 7 Creative Style 2.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Rockin Jo 50.00 5 9-1
6 6 Dooley 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Later Cat 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Eloquent Speaker 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Chasing Losses 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Pot of Hunny 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Quality Stones 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Graetz 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Homerun Honey 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Crystal Steps 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Steal My Heart 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Trouble for Skylar 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Quietude 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Cape Cod Diva 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Collegeville Girl 1.80 4 8-1
3 3 Wailin Josie 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Awillaway 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ella’s Song 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mental Model 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Escape 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Digital Footprint 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Danny California 3.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Traveling 2.50 6 11-1
4 4 Spectator Sport 4.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Freedom Prince 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Quality Choice 12.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Withers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Portos 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Shotski 2.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Vanzzy 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Max Player 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 New Commission 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Prince of Pharoahs 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Mr. Shortandsimple 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Monday Morning Qb 4.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rally Cap 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Javelin 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Toohottoevenspeak 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Nuclear Code 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Le Gros Bill 30.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 O Shea Can U See 1.20 4.7 9-1
8A 8 Readyheartandsoul 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Fun Prospect 50.00 5.4 10-1
9A 9 You Tell Me 6.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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