January 31, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fellow Citizen | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trending Higher | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Man’s Man | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch the Dip | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Siberian Tigah | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Matineigh Idol | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jetovator | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Busy Paynter | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rizzi’s Honors | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Wine Untasted | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Humor | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rattle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edna | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Queen | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Much Happy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Road Rager | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Stormy D | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meso | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quinnie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet Heat | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying to the Line | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avalon Ride | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Rocket | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violette Szabo | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Royale | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Italiano | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bouncing Around | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freiburg | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Littlebitamedal | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Hedges | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oil Can Knight | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Bird (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s So Special | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Establish Justice | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Bourbon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carpe Vinum | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Sky Baby | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guinessey | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Suspect | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ridge Route | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blues Rapper | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsthattime | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Sierra | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Handsome Michael | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Promise Nothing | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flawless Clyde | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.