Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 18, 2020

January 18, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lonely Private 4.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Factorino 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Dr. Doyle 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Union Colonel 5.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Palace Kid 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bloodprof 4.50 6.1 11-1
3 3 Sagamore Mischief 8.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Strong Ending 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Mukulwitz 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Mr Nappy 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Lasting Image 20.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 The Virginian 20.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 R Man Joe 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beast Mode 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Steadily 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Miriam’s Sky 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Russian Wine 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 El Zeus 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 All Star Seiler 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Gone Diesel 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Bullgrats 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dry Land 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Excalibur 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 L’ Cristabal 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Cab Beef 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Wicked Wednesday 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Galaxy Invasion 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Ultraconfident 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bee Catcher 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Complex System 1.60 3.4 6-1
10 10 Degas 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Juulstone 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Leading West 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 African Heritage 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Yamazaki 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tapage 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Alpha Dog 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Robin Team Show 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Dizzy 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Nothins Free 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Assume Control 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 2 Denver 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 5 Forever Marta 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Hill Valley 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Caspian Tale 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eagerly 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 More Chances 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Always Misbehaving 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Or’effice 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Turn of Events 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 This Ill Defend 4.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Maine 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Win d’Oro 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Briefcase Bully 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Life On Top 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gran Casique 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Fast Loaded 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Silverly Enough 3.50 3.9 7-1
10 8 Bad Little Beast 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 With Verve 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 One Turn Johnny 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Sun Squall 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sarasota Boy 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Alfie Solomons 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Nettleton 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Starship Jubilee 0.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Beautiful Lover 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 7 Bienville Street 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Admiral’s Win 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 8 Vow to Recover 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Sweet Hitch Hiker 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Raki 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Just Sassy 50.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Decorated Ace 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Liza Star 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Una Luna 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sunshine Millions Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Extravagant Kid 2.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Lady’s Island 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 He Hate Me 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Jackson 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Richard the Great 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Royal Squeeze 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Front Loaded 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Running for Riz 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sunshine Millions Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Curlin’s Honor 4.50 2.9 6-1
11 9 Galleon Mast 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 March to the Arch 3.50 4 8-1
8 7 Second Mate 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Scraps 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Souper Scat Daddy 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Muggsamatic 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Jais’s Solitude 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Max K. O. 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Class and Cash 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Roddick 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sunshine Millions Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Salute With Honor 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Red Crescent 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tap the Mojo 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Super Dude 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Squeezadios 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Noble Drama 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Jay’s Way 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Bold Daddy 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Gosilently 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 6 Postino’s Vow 8.00 4.5 8-1
12 10 Mission Driven 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 American Ninja 6.00 5 10-1
10 8 Year of the Kitten 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Union Riches 8.00 5.4 10-1
11 9 Leaveematthegate 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Majestic Luna 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Mr Chaplin 30.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Can’t Trump Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bondurant 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 National Honor 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 River Evangelist 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Til the End 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Dalarna 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.