Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 16, 2020

January 16, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Margie’s Band 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Thirsty Again 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Laurel Lady 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Pigeon Creek 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Super Holy Juno 30.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Fancy Girl 30.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Sergio’s Panchita 50.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Robin Hood 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Flip 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Marden 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sassy King 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Closer Look 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Soulmate 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Fifty Seven Chevy 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Fourteen Carrot 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 7 Thirst for Quality 1.40 2.9 6-1
3 3 Sojourner 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 2 El Bombaso 30.00 5.4 10-1
1A 5 Fracique 30.00 6.1 12-1
2 1 Tiger Road 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 8 Change the Image 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rigged Election 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Irishtown 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Mucho Macho Danny 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Pataz 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Playground 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Save Me Paula 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Awesome At Riedes 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Victory Given 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hargus 2.50 2 4-1
9 9 Belmont Ride 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Shadow Boxer 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 All Clear 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Baron of Bluegrass 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Belmonte 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Lacrostix 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Ticker Tape Parade 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Tapitontheside 30.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Patriotic Quest 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Big City Blues 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Make the Rules 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Dedicated 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Oceanographer 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Super Buddy 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 11 Kierland 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 King of All Media 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 A True Gentleman 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Sir Douglas 15.00 7.7 14-1
1A 10 Iwishiwaspecial 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 3 French’s Quest 12.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Data Princess 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mary’s Jewel 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Go Amanda 4.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Mae Sai Princess 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Shotdowninflames 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Heavenly Hattie 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Don’tbaggagecheck 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Millie Child 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jack Straight 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Thurman Merman 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Lion Lord 1.80 3 6-1
5 5 Fly E Dubai 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Awesome D J 8.00 4.7 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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