January 16, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Our Foolish Girl | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Top Ten Duchess | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hot Melissa | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sandy’s Wager | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Tiz Darby | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Emery’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Floatie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Pink Appeal | 1.80 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Frankincense | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Rescind | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Landofthepharaohs | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Take Charge d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Kearny County | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Cade’s On the Bump | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Nature’s Fortune | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Blondie Lox Babe | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Custom for Carlita | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Lady Fitzgerald | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Lady Date | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Kehron’s Creed | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Lil Kylie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Paper Doll | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Heart of Soul | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | My Mallory’s On | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
6 | 6 | Singing Ontherail | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Southern Swagg | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Whistling Wind | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Confederate Yell | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Star Yankee | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Lord Colliery | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Chimneyville | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Disapproval | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Horace Charles | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Cat On the Roof | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | No More for U | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Commanding Candy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Copper Fiddle | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
9 | 9 | Handsome Honey | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Djinn of Djibouti | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Coworker | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Slick Dude | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | He’s a Climber | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Morethanfishin | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Perdido Bay | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Oro de Tejano | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Pocho’s Dream | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
7 | 5 | Trivista | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Crealock | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Tap King | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
9 | 7 | Mr. Big City | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Expect Ice | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
8 | 6 | Happy Go Lucky | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cratus | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Foggy Albion | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Magi | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Maintainance Matt | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Jim’s Silverbullet | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Tranquility Base | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Yes He Can | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Katzarelli | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
10 | 9 | Topshop | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Max Pandowdy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Awe Patriot | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Prioritizer | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Elsie’s Kid | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Carry the One | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Bee Bit | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Ragatagtag | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Maybe I Can | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Bold Esther | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | For Reef’s Sake | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Kraft’s Rate | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Princess Trina | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Mt. Rain | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Empty Tomb | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | So Alive | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Pirate’s Punch | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Seek the Peak | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Broth | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Dictator | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
8 | 8 | Hierarchy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
10 | 10 | Rijeka (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Botswana | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Artie’s Rumor | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
11 | 11 | Conquest Lemonraid | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Take That for Data | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Another Mystery | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Kitten’s Boy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Tell Your Daddy | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
12 | 12 | Altito | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Shaq Jack | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
4 | 2 | Linea Amarilla | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Creole Candy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 6 | Run to Fame | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
9 | 7 | Our Bucket List | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 4 | Fire Giant | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 3 | My Guitar | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 5 | Bet On J J | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Man Alive | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.