Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 16, 2020

January 16, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Scrimmage 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Our Prince 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tdz What a Dream 8.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Richards Dream 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Tensas Toddy 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Runciman 3.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Grip Tight 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Robber 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 St Basil 8.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Whooz the King 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Brokejaw 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Bayou Ruby 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ten Count Out 2.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Dr Liz 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Green Lakes 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Elektracutioner 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Feels Right 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Crescent Lace 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Her High Road 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Wish for Interest 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Caprock 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Now You Rules 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Carlos Fine Custom 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Going Japanese 6.00 4 8-1
4 3 Punky Monkey 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 4 He’s a Believer 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 2 Guilty Again 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Chan Man 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Unbridled Pulpit 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ladygogently 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Silver Siren 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Customs in Dixie 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Temple of Roses 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mitch’s Pins 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Duepeg 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Paddy O’Belle 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Slew City Susie 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Roll On Baby 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sassy Susa 1.60 2.4 5-1
7 7 Last Destiny 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Dial a Princess 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Secret Joy 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 One Fine Pinot 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Salt Life Angel 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Party With Kassidy 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Zugersee 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Holy Song 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Runpeggyrun 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Keen’s Shot 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Asdrubal 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Charzee Baby 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Poopsie Doopsie 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Lefthoofrightleft 3.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Go Selma T 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Seveneightnine 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 La Reina Isabel 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Perfectly Precious 1.60 3 6-1
6 5 Catbalee 3.50 3.4 6-1
1A 8 Shrew Grit 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Take Charge Taylor 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 7 Agirlnamedsyd 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 U Thought U Got Me 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Angelic Kriss 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 9 Angel Cat 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 10 Ranger Connection 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 She’s a Smart Cat 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Charlie’sarchangel 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Praetorian 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Why God 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Sunset Seven 5.00 4.5 9-1
1A 6 American League 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Fulkerson 2.50 4.7 9-1
6 7 Dreamer’s Point 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Nastida Mast 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tribute’s Pride 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Spanish Exchange 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Miss Ready Cat 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Siberianproduction 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Whitney’s Flash 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 G Nanny 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ante Vera 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Smart N Holy 12.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 D’lady Fired Up 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Ladie Verrazano 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Queezer 10.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Lady Brooklyn 20.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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