January 11, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Philly Dilly | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Ratio | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sag Harbor | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Alley | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tio Wil | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guaco | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Street | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bychance | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rogue Element | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awakened | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Gone | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Revenge | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northbrook | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plato | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K W Captain Hook | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disc Jockey | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neverstopdreaming | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Telephone Talker | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingmeister | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tons of Gold | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point Driven | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | African Heritage | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Wisdom | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Party | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cigar Box | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Kid | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | See the Pyramids | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eminent Domain | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palm Springs | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Touchpoint | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chill Haze | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alfatei | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Niles Channel | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violent City | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Epic West | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Stones | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapi Frost | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Gem | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Solution | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Noguez | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemoncita | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Teacher Drama | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Brown | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Venezolana (VEN) | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Rusia | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Caracaro | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Don Bourbon | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Kahn | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Militarist | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unrighteous | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spa City | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clifton Park | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Holy Muchacho | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Battalion | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Luxury Suite | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My First Grammy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ny Traffic | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sounion | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masterday | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Over Miami | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Genghis | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lure Him In | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gangly | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Rye Time | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Marshua’s River S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Star | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Munchkin Money | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maroubra (FR) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andina Del Sur | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malkia | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Piece by Peace | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Endorsed | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cutting Humor | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Army Scout | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fortune Cookie | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brasstown | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Max | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Squeezadios | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Green Mansions | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yes I See | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McErin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Jordan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Musical Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tropical Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | A Thread of Blue | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tusk | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gidu (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Exulting | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gemonteer | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maraud | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empire of War | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sand Dancer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Agenda | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunnison | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Krachenwagen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Keep It Up | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Colonel | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Honey Dont | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Iconic | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pawnbroker | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Blakey | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fives Wild | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Graydar’s Resolve | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doctor D J | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bluesky Kitten | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King Leonardo | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Solar Warming | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Appealing Briefs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | State of War | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Third Army | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.